Thanks for the report on Stanley as I don't catch very many Moose games. I am going to my 1st Moose game of the season on the 17th and he will be one of the players I will be focusing on.
One thing that's striking to me here: what has Welinski done to be a full 48% ahead of Poolman? He's doing a bit better in the AHL but that's a huge discrepancy between two players that are pretty much the same age.I'm still very bullish on Logan Stanley, not to mention many of the other Moose in terms of making it to the NHL:
This comes courtesy of a recent presentation done by Hayden Speak of prospect-stats.com at SeaHAC, titled "Making the Jump - How AHL Players Become NHL Players". Similar to Garret's research in that even your typical shutdown defenceman in the NHL generally dominated offensively in their younger leagues, the same could be true of AHL defenceman. A quick mental way of looking at it is that defenceman should have at least the following: be under 23; 0.1 G/GP; 0.25 A/GP; 1.5 Sh/GP; 15 eTOI/GP; 0.15 PP P/GP. While Stanley's eTOI is getting up there because of Niku's absence, he's about usually at half if not less of the other metrics (other than shots).
Of course, this is pretty restricted by the lack of stats available, but that isn't to say the stats we have now aren't capable of improving our projections.
For the record, here's the top probability of defenceman this season thus far, up to Sami Niku:
Too bad he didn't get more games this year. I mentioned in summer he was ready to play at this level, many disagreed and said he wasn't good enough. The kid has talent, raw talent but there is something there that with coaching and seasoning you could see something promising going forward.
I'm still verybullishleery on Logan Stanley, not to mention many of the other Moose in terms of making it to the NHL:
This comes courtesy of a recent presentation done by Hayden Speak of prospect-stats.com at SeaHAC, titled "Making the Jump - How AHL Players Become NHL Players". Similar to Garret's research in that even your typical shutdown defenceman in the NHL generally dominated offensively in their younger leagues, the same could be true of AHL defenceman. A quick mental way of looking at it is that defenceman should have at least the following: be under 23; 0.1 G/GP; 0.25 A/GP; 1.5 Sh/GP; 15 eTOI/GP; 0.15 PP P/GP. While Stanley's eTOI is getting up there because of Niku's absence, he's about usually at half if not less of the other metrics (other than shots).
Of course, this is pretty restricted by the lack of stats available, but that isn't to say the stats we have now aren't capable of improving our projections.
For the record, here's the top probability of defenceman this season thus far, up to Sami Niku:
Actually the current Moose team is a bit of a byproduct of Chevy's drafting as all our top prospects have now made the jump to the NHL and there is not much left to build an AHL team around.
