Whereever Pietrangelo signs, I think his cap hit and NMC structure is going to be very interesting.
Much has been publicized about his 4 very young kids and assumed desire for a full NMC. In selecting a destination, I actually don't think that being close to the grandparents is necessarily a requirement, what I think is more concerning, is that he doesn't want to wake up one day in mid-January 4-5 years from now, and have to uproot the lives of his three 6-7 year olds.
Doug Armstrong is an old school GM who's been at the helm of the blues for like 10 years. His "urgency to win today" is not going to get in the way of his principles as to what he feels is the right deal for a player. He doesn't give out signing bonuses, and doesn't give out full trade protection beyond the first 5 years when dealing with players that are going to be well into their 30s. Ultimately, I think that is the hill he will die on, and I do not believe Pietrangelo will sign there without a full NMC.
Enter Toronto & Las Vegas. Teams who's window to win is very much open right now -- and will probably sign a player in the interest of today and the next 2-3 years, knowing it's going to hurt in 4-5 years. Vegas did it with Mark Stone signing him to $9.5m X 8 years, with a full NMC; taking him to age 35. Toronto did it with John Tavares signing him to a $11 x 7 deal with a full NMC, also taking him to age 35.
If anyone is willing to do the same with a player that will be 38 at the end of his deal, I would imagine that it's going to be Toronto or Vegas. The question is -- do either / both of the GMs have the fortitude to hold their ground at something like $8m x 7 -- getting him into buying into a term that will allow his new team to retain some of the talent around him?
Kyle Dubas should have an easier job convincing him of that -- given the 3 massive contracts they already have and under which the foundation of the team is built... but has to contend with higher tax rates and the perception that "Eh, it's Toronto, they can afford anything, they're insulting me if they don't give me $10m". I think he also has to wonder whether he wants to face the pressure that goes along with playing in Toronto -- although he would have the benefit of being the 4th highest paid player on the team.
For McCrimmon, I think he's got a tougher time convincing Pietrangelo that "he can't make things work to pay him $9.5m. There's a lot of $4-6m players on the Knights... but on the flip side, he's got lower taxes, and less pressure. From a hockey standpoint however, I think playing alongside the likes of Matthews, Tavares, Marner & Rielly has to be more exciting than Stone, Pacioretty, Smith & Theodore.
Give Lebrun credit though... Calgary could be a real darkhorse candidate. They are in a little bit of a re-tool right now, but they've got tons of cap flexibility, AP would be an incredible fit amongst their remaining top 4, and they have some fairly young and dynamic talent up front with Tkachuk, Gaudreau, Lindholm & Monahan. I'm just not sure they have enough coming through the pipeline up front.