Does Draisatl PK, and is he a plus player 5 on 5?
Marner is a more important player to winning than Draisatl.
Drai has the 2nd most PK minutes over the last two years in Edmonton. So yes... [checks standings] I see us sitting 8th in PK and Toronto is 25th.
Being a plus player is highly dependent on your team. In the last 5 seasons, the Oilers have a grand total of 23 individual seasons of players with a positive 5v5 goal differential (meaning only ~4 guys on the team have positive 5v5 each year)... it's been a shitty team... and both Connor McDavid, Matt Benning and Leon Draisaitl have three of those seasons each. So yeah... he's a positive 5v5.
Winning? What would either of our teams know about that? Call me when its 2004 again and you've won a playoff series.
In short:
100 points: yes, he's done it and baring injury will do it again this year. Marner has not and would need to increase his scoring pace to make it this year.
EVENS: Drai has been one of few EV+ oilers, incl 3 of 5 seasons. Marner has been EV+ 1 of his three complete seasons and is presently +4.
PK: Drai PKs on the a top-10 PK. Marner PKs on a bottom 10 PK.
Nobody's casting shade on Marner here... but be careful you have a leg to stand on before doing the same with Drai.