I hope you’re right about Langdon, but this got me thinking..
Would anyone take a stab at predicting stat lines for players next year? I don’t even know where to start for predicting player trajectories from season to season.
they're very hard to predict and you are more so taking a shot in the dark for most players as they are still in major development years of their lives.
the hardest to predict are the 02s. for a lot of guys, their biggest jump in production is in their 2nd year (ie. Connor McMichael will never increase his scoring by 450% again in the OHL). however, some guys break out in their 3rd or 4th years (see the Kitchener Rangers top 5 scorers).
the 03s are obviously near impossible as well. new city, league, school, teammates, billets etc. we don't know how it will effect one player compared to another.
back to the first point, any of the 01s or 00s could break out but we aren't counting on it, same as last year with the big 5. these guys (Petizian, Stepien, MacPherson, etc.) also will not be getting the opportunities that Yantsis, Meireles, Hugg, Damiani, Garreffa got last season.
that leaves us with those 5, or your core guys. you expect these guys to perform at par or better with how they did last season. that doesn't mean you put pressure on Jonny Yantsis to have 50+ goals. not realistic. but you hope for him to be able to stay in the 60-70 point range at least
this doesn't even account for the Serpa's and McDonnell's whose rookie seasons aren't their first year of eligibility. now that's a shot in the dark