His point is that because Trevor Kidd turned out to be a dud at 11th overall, so will Bernier, without taking into account how their careers diverged post-draft.
If you throw in Hasek Price, Thomas as comparison points, then you should throw in Trevor Kidd, a guy with "pedigree" and "11th overall" who also had a .922 season before the wheels fall off.
However, Kidd was 6'2 so maybe it's not a fair comparison.