Jets will be pumped. Jets nation will be tweaking.
Trouba is back.
McBackup is in net. we're on the backend of a back to back and 3rd in 4 nights.
Let's smash them and send Jets' nation over the edge.
Legend:
toi = time on ice
Letter Grades qoc = Quality of Competition measured by opponents' time on ice, Converted into Letter Grades for simplicity
p/60 = points per 60 minutes
p1/60 = primary points per 60 minutes
CF% = Corsi For Percentage (i.e. shot attempts for percentage)
xGF% = Expected Goals For Percentage (i.e. shot attempt percentage adjusted for shot quality) - this stat is already adjusted for zone deployment and game score
scf% = scoring chances for percentage
rel = CF% and xGF% relative to team
dsv% = difference between save percentage and expected save percentage
EVEN STRENGTH
TOR: 54.2gf% (5th), 51.0xgf% (14th), 52.4scf% (7th), 50.7cf% (14th)
WPG: 55.0gf% (4th), 52.7xgf% (6th), 52.1scf% (8th), 52.2cf% (6th)
Line 1
Matthews (20): 58gms, 16:04toi (A+ qoc), 3.08p/60, 2.74p1/60, 51.2cf% (+0.8rel), 53.5xgf% (+3.5rel)
Scheifele (24): 56gms, 16:32toi (A+ qoc), 2.33p/60, 1.93p1/60, 51.5cf% (-1.4rel), 53.0xgf% (+0.3rel)
Hyman (25): 78gms, 14:34toi (A qoc), 1.670p/60, 1.43p1/60, 50.9cf% (+0.2rel), 52.8xgf% (+2.7rel)
Wheeler (31): 77gms, 15:55toi (A+ qoc), 1.98p/60, 1.27p1/60, 50.3cf% (-2.8rel), 51.4xgf% (-2.0rel)
Nylander (21): 78gms, 14:39toi (A- qoc), 2.44p/60, 1.84p1/60, 51.7cf% (+1.4rel), 51.6xgf% (+0.9rel)
Connor (21): 71gms, 14:14toi (A- qoc), 2.29p/60, 1.81p1/60, 50.0cf% (-3.5rel), 51.4xgf% (-1.9rel)
Leafs' top line has a nice edge here, mostly thanks to Matthews badly outplaying Scheifele.....but even Hyman is pulling a decent Wheeler impression, at least at even strength.
Line 2
Kadri (27): 76gms, 14:39toi (A qoc), 1.92p/60, 1.53p1/60, 50.0cf% (-1.3rel), 47.9xgf% (-4.5rel)
Stastny (32): 77gms, 14:45toi (A- qoc), 2.19p/60, 1.48p1/60, 55.4cf% (+4.6rel), 53.4xgf% (+1.4rel)
Marleau (38): 78gms, 14:38toi (A qoc), 1.59p/60, 1.21p1/60, 50.3cf% (-0.6rel), 47.5xgf% (-4.9rel)
Ehlers (21): 77gms, 14:06toi (B+ qoc), 2.26p/60, 1.91p1/60, 54.6cf% (+3.4rel), 52.7xgf% (-0.1rel)
Marner (20): 78gms, 14:05toi (B qoc), 2.05p/60, 1.48p1/60, 51.9cf% (+1.6rel), 53.1xgf% (+2.9rel)
Laine (19): 77gms, 13:27toi (B qoc), 2.08p/60, 1.72p1/60, 50.1cf% (-3.0rel), 47.9xgf% (-6.6rel)
As dynamite as the Leafs' 2nd line has been, the Jets' 2nd line has been better. But surprisingly, not really due to Laine, as Marner is matching him, but due to Stastny and Ehlers playing great.
Line 3
Bozak (31): 77gms, 13:27toi (C- qoc), 1.81p/60, 1.33p1/60, 52.1cf% (+2.0rel), 55.1xgf% (+5.5rel)
Little (30): 77gms, 13:51toi (B qoc), 1.74p/60, 1.39p1/60, 51.5cf% (-1.1rel), 52.1xgf% (-0.9rel)
VanRyk (28): 77gms, 12:34toi (C qoc), 1.94p/60, 1.68p1/60, 53.8cf% (+4.1rel), 55.9xgf% (+6.7rel)
Perreault (29): 65gms, 12:13toi (C+ qoc), 1.62p/60, 1.16p1/60, 57.2cf% (+5.3rel), 59.0xgf% (+7.1rel)
Brown (23): 78gms, 11:59toi (C+ qoc), 1.46p/60, 1.20p1/60, 49.8cf% (-1.1rel), 49.5xgf% (-1.8rel)
Armia (24): 74gms, 9:46toi (D+ qoc), 1.76p/60, 1.34p1/60, 54.5cf% (+2.5rel), 56.5xgf% (+4.3rel)
Jets are one of the few teams that can compare to the Leafs' 3rd line....but not quite I don't think.
Line 4
Plekanec (35): 73gms, 13:14toi (B qoc), 1.23p/60, 0.97p1/60, 52.1cf% (+0.7rel), 56.4xgf% (+4.3rel)
Lowry (24): 41gms, 12:03toi (C qoc), 1.84p/60, 1.35p1/60, 58.3cf% (+5.6rel), 46.4gf% (+8.4rel)
Komarov (31): 71gms, 12:42toi (B+ qoc), 0.69p/60, 0.41p1/60, 46.7cf% (-4.7rel), 47.3xgf% (-4.9rel)
Copp (23): 77gms, 11:40toi (C qoc), 1.09p/60, 0.61p1/60, 54.4cf% (+2.6rel), 54.1xgf% (+1.6rel)
Kapanen (21): 35gms, 10:16toi (D- qoc), 1.18p/60, 1.01p1/60, 52.4cf% (+1.4rel), 53.3xgf% (+3.3rel)
Tanev (26): 57gms, 10:38toi (C- qoc), 1.29p/60, 0.80p1/60, 51.6cf% (-0.8rel), 52.6xgf% (-0.2rel)
Jets also have an excellent 4th line, like the Leafs, though they haven't been regulars up top of the lineup like Pleks and Leo were most of the year.
Pair 1
Rielly (23): 72gms, 18:16toi (A qoc), 1.10p/60, 0.86p1/60, 51.5cf% (+2.0rel), 50.8xgf% (+0.2rel)
Trouba (23): 52gms, 17:52toi (A- qoc), 0.98p/60, 0.79p1/60, 51.2cf% (-0.1rel), 54.0xgf% (+4.2rel)
Hainsey (36): 76gms, ES 17:47toi (A+ qoc), 0.74p/60, 0.41p/60, 48.6cf% (-2.6rel), 49.2xgf% (-2.5rel)
Morrissey (22): 77gms, 17:42toi (A- qoc), 0.85p/60, 0.49p1/60, 51.8cf% (-0.8rel), 53.8xgf% (+1.7rel)
Trouba is back.....but the Leafs' top pair is still better.
Pair 2
Gardiner (27): 78gms, 20:03toi (B+ qoc), 1.23p/60, 0.80p1/60, 50.2cf% (-0.7rel), 51.0xgf% (-0.0rel)
Byfuglien (32): 65gms, 20:03toi (B+ qoc), 0.90p/60, 0.47p1/60, 52.8cf% (+1.6rel), 54.6xgf% (+4.0rel)
Zaitsev (26): 56gms, 19:10toi (B qoc), 0.69p/60, 0.58p1/60, 47.8cf% (-4.2rel), 49.5xgf% (-2.2rel)
Morrow (25): 51gms, 15:23toi (C+ qoc), 0.63p/60, 0.39p1/60, 49.7cf% (-3.0rel), 50.7xgf% (-2.5rel)
The more I think about it, Jake and Buffy are actual great comparables. Uber talented brainfarting pros. Jake doesn't have Buffy's muscle, though. but nor does he have his belly. I like Buffy a bit more than Jake, but Morrow is non-nhl trash so Leafs win this matchup as well.
Pair 3
Dermott (21): 35gms, 15:50toi (D+ qoc), 1.21p/60, 0.55p1/60, 56.5cf% (+7.0rel), 57.0xgf% (+8.7rel)
Myers (27): 77gms, 16:49toi (C+ qoc), 0.71p/60, 0.42p1/60, 51.6cf% (-1.0rel), 47.7xgf% (-7.6rel)
Polak (31): 50gms, 15:07toi (D+ qoc), 0.81p/60, 0.48p1/60, 49.6cf% (-0.2rel), 49.9xgf% (-0.7rel)
Chiarot (26): 52gms, 13:41toi (D+ qoc), 1.10p/60, 0.68p1/60, 51.6cf% (-3.5rel), 49.4xgf% (-7.1rel)
Myers has done some great work on the PP this year, but at ES has been terrible. And Chiarot is garbagio. Leafs' pair takes this matchup as well.
Starter
McElhinney (34): 16gms, 93.5sv%, +2.4dsv% / ES 94.5sv%, +2.2dsv% / PK 88.4sv%, +3.5dsv%
Hellebuyck (24): 63gms, 92.3sv%, +0.8dsv% / ES 92.7sv%, +0.0dsv% / PK 90.4sv%, +3.8dsv%
Backup
Andersen (28): 64gms, 91.7sv%, +1.0dsv% / ES 92.2sv%, +0.7dsv% / PK 88.9sv%, +3.6dsv%
Comrie (22): 3gms, 87.2sv%, -3.7dsv% / ES 87.1sv%, -4.6dsv% / PK 85.7sv%, +3.3dsv%
Hellebuyck has been better than Andy.....but we have McStarter in net.
PP
TOR: 23.8% (3rd)
WPG: 23.3% (4th)
PP1
Marner (20): 78gms, 2:12toi, 8.81p/60, 6.34p1/60
Wheeler (31): 77gms, 3:09toi, 9.21p/60, 7.96p1/60
Kadri (27): 76gms, 2:05toi, 6.89p/60, 5.74p1/60
Laine (19): 77gms, 3:02toi, 7.20p/60, 5.92p1/60
VanRyk (28): 77gms, 2:17toi, 6.54p/60, 5.51p1/60
Scheifele (24): 56gms, 3:07toi, 5.53p/60, 3.46p1/60
Bozak (31): 77gms, 2:10toi, 3.97p/60, 2.89p1/60
Stastny (32): 77gms, 2:40toi, 2.35p/60, 1.76p1/60
Rielly (23): 72gms, 2:11toi, 8.57p/60, 3.12p1/60
Byfuglien (32): 65gms, 3:06toi, 5.69p/60, 1.80p1/60
Two of the most lethal PP units in the league.....except the Jets' top unit gets a full minute more PP time per game.
PP2
Matthews (20): 58gms, 2:06toi, 3.93p/60, 1.97p1/60
Perreault (29): 65gms, 2:15toi, 5.79p/60, 3.31p1/60
Nylander (21): 78gms, 1:58toi, 3.52p/60, 3.13p1/60
Ehlers (21): 77gms, 2:01toi, 4.62p/60, 3.47p1.60
Marleau (38): 78gms, 1:58toi, 2.76p/60, 1.97p1/60
Little (30): 77gms, 2:11toi, 4.29p/60, 1.43p1/60
Brown (23): 78gms,1:13toi, 1.27p/60, 1.27p1/60
Connor (21): 71gms, 2:42toi, 3.13p/60, 2.50p1/60
Gardiner (27): 78gms, 2:02toi, 4.53p/60, 2.65p1/60
Myers (27): 77gms, 2:03toi, 6.05p/60, 4.54p1/60
Not as good from the 2nd unit - though the jets' 2nd unit is not as cold as the leafs'. The more annoying thing here is that even though the jets' top unit plays way more than the leafs' top unit, their 2nd unit plays just as much as our 2nd unit too.....because we don't get any fricken PPs.
PK (More than 30 seconds per game only)
TOR: 82.0% (10th), 88.8sv% (7th)
WPG: 82.1% (9th), 90.1sv% (3rd)
Hyman (25): 78gms, 2:37toi
Komarov (31): 71gms, 2:34toi
Plekanec (35): 73gms, 1:58toi
Brown (23): 78gms, 1:49toi
Kapanen (21): 35gms, 1:06toi
Lowry (24): 41gms, 2:02toi
Copp (23): 77gms, 1:55toi
Tanev (26): 57gms, 1:55toi
Wheeler (31): 77gms, 1:18toi
Scheifele (24): 56gms, 1:12toi
Armia (24): 74gms, 1:06toi
Little (30): 77gms, 1:02toi
Hainsey (36): 76gms, 3:56toi
Zaitsev (26): 56gms, 3:01toi
Polak (31): 50gms, 2:26toi
Rielly (23): 72gms, 1:09toi
Myers (27): 77gms, 2:37toi
(Kulikov (27): 62gms, 2:31toi)
Trouba (23): 52gms, 2:30toi
Morrissey (22): 77gms, 2:26toi
Byfuglien (32): 65gms, 1:14toi
Chiarot (26): 52gms, 1:13toi
Two good PK units that employ very difference systems - the Jets split the time through 2 even 3 units, while the Leafs really lean on their top guys a ton.