Becoming season vs. last season
2023-24 vs. 2022-23
2023 Larkin >= 2022 Larkin, captain could be better with better supporting cast on his line. DeBrincat is from different level, only Bertuzzi has been top line level in the past and last season he didn't help much thanks to injuries.
DeBrincat >> compared to Vrana as somewhat sniper. Think Alex will score more than what Vrana did (1+1=2 points) at last season. One guy is a real 40-goal scorer, and other has always been just a potential 40-goal scorer.
Perron > Bertuzzi, great skill grinder, who has stayed healthy. Does the same dirty behind the net job at offensive end. If Perron can repeat his last season 24 goals and 56 points, that's 20 goals and 42 points more, than injured Bertuzzi was able to help (4+10=14 points) at last season. Also superior leader to have around young players for this team.
2023 Compher > 2022 Copp. JT Compher was Red Wings best player at pre-season, and it really seems that he has some extra offensive potential in him. This will build our 2nd line so much better than it was with Copp. Stanley Cup winner, and has been used in very defensive roles in the past, thanks to better team depth. But after Avs lost Kadri and MacKinnon (for injuries) he was able to step up even with 1st line minutes/role.
2023 Raymond > 2022 Raymond. Lucas could still "struggle" a bit, but most proably he will rebound back to his rookie season level. From 0.61 ppg to 0.70+level. 2nd line, 2nd PP, don't have to play over his head. He has matured physically and should start dominating against easier opposite lines. Being so young and going against top lines was just too heavy on last 2 seasons.
Sprong > Kubalik. Daniel Sprong is one of the most interesting players in this team. Known of his lethal shot. More than Kubalik ever was. Sprong has scored a goal in each game he has played. 4 pre-season games, and Red-White game. No other NHL forward scored there. 1 goal per game, 1+1+1+1+1/5 games = consistent scoring, not just bursts like hattrick in one game. Kubalik scored 20 last year, but was inconsistent, disappeared after a hot start. I'll expect Sprong getting 25+ if he can just complete more games.
Copp > Suter. Thanks to adding Compher, Andrew Copp will be now slotted to more suitable role. Can go defence heavy. Suter was used a lot on defensive situations too at last season. But Copp is a definite upgrade vs. this roster spot compared to last season. Also can start now as a healthy guy. Clearly best Faceoff guy at pre-season.
2023 Rasmussen > 2022 Rasmussen. Second best pre-season forward effort after Compher. Big fella has taken a long time to develop, but it looks like his time has come. Most dominating offensive shifts have happened Rasmussen on the ice, both at this pre-season, and at last regular season, before his injury.
2023 Fabbri > Zadina. Healthy Robby Fabbri is huge addition on this team. Especially versus struggling Zadina. For last season Fabbri was 0.57 points per game player and he has been that same 0.57 for last 4 years as a Red Wing. We don't know how many games he can complete, but he has always produced at same level, when healthy. Zadina was 0.36 points per game guy for his last 4 years, which did include his best 2019-20 season 28-game effort with 0.54 points per game, his career peak.
And even if, Robby Fabbri once again will get injured, we have Jonatan Berggren as a reserve offensive Top9 forward to jump instantly in. He could very soon be as effective as Fabbri.
That's our Top9 group of forwards.
Kostin > Erne. Klim Kostin was known as same kind of human wrecking ball as Adam Erne, but Erne never showed real skill or potential to score. Kostin has shown his offensive skill too. Kostin ppg from Edmonton was 0.37 with a very small ice-time, when Erne completed only 0.24 ppg, with higher ice-time. Points/60 is a bigger difference for Kostin (Kostin 2.20 vs. Erne 1.32) between them. Kostin did trend up even more at the playoffs 2.20 --> 3.32 points/60. That 2.20 was already 5th best number at Oilers offence, after McDavid, Drai, Hyman and RNH. All +3.00 numbers are elite numbers. Like, Toronto had 5 regular players to go over 3.00 in points/60.
2023 Veleno > 2022 Veleno. Biggest surprise for me at pre-season. Was explosive, lethal shooting and first guy on rebounds. Think he was our 3rd best pre-season forward. This is the guy I saw thriwing with Lafreniere at WJC. Veleno is great near the net, if there's somebody feeding him. In the near future, Berggren seems to be perfect fit as his feeder, but maybe he is also able to build a defensive role in him. Then it would be quite multi-tool package. That's what he has to be, no one-dimensional guy is gonna live on Yzerman teams very long.
Fischer = Sundqvist/Chiasson. Think Christian Fischer is the only player who isn't better than the guy he will replace. In weird way, Sundqvist was used more on the PP situations, as well as Chiasson. Sundqvist weakness was staying healthy, Fischer does not have this problem. More of, Fischer will fill a needed PK role, there really isn't any specialist on this team, except Copp. Also they like to build those D.zone starting bulldozer lines, to protect the leads on critical minutes, Fischer is a fit on that too. Hs is not a skill too, but hockey need many kind of "kirk maltby" -like tools to be complete teams.
2023 Berggren > 2022 Berggren
For sure, Berggren is better than Berggren 1 year ago. But team depth has seen so significant upgrades, that he stays a reserve player. Maybe big minutes and short stint still at AHL? Zadina is gone from his way, but healthy Fabbri creates competition. All forwards are healthy, that's good thing. But Berggren will get his call, instantly when there's the first injury at Top9.
Zack Aston-Reese > any of our 2022 bench warming forwards. Aston-Reese gives some experienced defensive depth. 29-year old veteran sit on the bench, instead of a kid.
Imo, everything in this team is better than year ago. It will start from the top. Larkin is the same solid himself, but with better supporting cast. DeBrincat is better secondary forward than any in the past on Larkin era. Compher is real 2nd line center, better than anyone since both Pavel and Z was on this team etc. Then the depth will start to show.
DeBrincat - Larkin - Perron
Rasmussen - Compher - Raymond
Fabbri - Copp - Sprong
Kostin - Veleno - Fischer
(Berggren, Aston-Reese)
EVERYTHING IS BETTER. Every spot. It cumulates, and will turn things around. No injuries. One of the best season starting situation for a long long time.