How many points to make West playoffs 2013/2014?

[Jet]

I kinda have to lol here. We all have our 'lack of logic' moments on here (me and my Buff hate, and my love of Ran_y Jones), but this whole thing has me larfing.

Remember everyone trumpeting at the early part of the season that we would need a ridiculous number of points to make the playoffs? The voices of reason saying things will even up, teams will cool off, and good teams will play each other and cannabalize themselves?

Well, look what's happened. Looks like about the same amount of points it took to make the post season last year will do it again this year.

Say it with me: "REGRESSION"

 

[KingBogo]

As of this morning it looks pretty likely the playoff line will be in the 90-94 range.

Points Chance

94 - 90%
93 - 80%
92 - 66%
91 - 48%
90 - 31%

http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/Western/Central/Winnipeg.html

 

[winterpeg]

We need 7 consecutive wins to beat Phoenix's Points-Per-Game to get a wildcard spot. I'm now including the baseball-style Games-Behind-Wildcard in the main table. The number of games is relative to the team in the 2nd wildcard slot. Here are the numbers...

Really though, if phoenix loses 2 games it drives their PPG down, making it much closer.

Not saying we're "there" or anything, but that it's all relative, depending on how our next 3 go vs. their next 3. It might be easier, or harder, than 7 wins in a row.

 

[Grind]

Results including games played on Monday, Feb 3rd. I use points-per-game to sort, so games-in-hand can cause teams with fewer points to be ranked higher. But Minnesota is in the tougher Central, so LA still gets a 3rd seed. Their worries are Phoenix and Vancouver.

We need 7 consecutive wins to beat Phoenix's Points-Per-Game to get a wildcard spot. I'm now including the baseball-style Games-Behind-Wildcard in the main table. The number of games is relative to the team in the 2nd wildcard slot. Here are the numbers...

Team | GP | Pts | PPG | Extr ||
CENTRAL ||||||
St Louis|54|79|1.463|120||
Chicago|58|82|1.414|116||
Colorado|55|77|1.4|115||
PACIFIC
Anaheim|58|85|1.466|120||
San Jose|57|76|1.333|109||
Los Angeles|58|66|1.138|93||
WILD CARD |||||| GBW
Minnesota|57|65|1.14|94||-0.5
Phoenix|55|62|1.127|92||0
Vancouver|57|63|1.105|91||0.5
Dallas|55|59|1.073|88||1.5
Nashville|57|59|1.035|85||2.5
Winnipeg|57|59|1.035|85||2.5
Calgary|55|49|0.891|73||6.5
Edmonton|58|44|0.759|62||10.5

wow, wish i'd just come here before doing the exact same thing on my own.

Of course, any dip in play changes everything, but taking into account the performance of everyone we're in the race with helps sort it out.

Sure pheonix's can drop 2, but by the same token dallas could win 3. I'd rather not bother with hypotheticals that can go either way as it just unnecessarily clouds the picture (unless you've devised a way to cleverly predict future fluctuations in pp%).

also: the other three teams in the race (dallas, vancouver, pheonix) are all performing better in the "more" predicitive stats of Corsifor and Fenwick for. Chances are their PPG% doesn't drop more then ours does.

Realistically this team needs to go at least 12-2 under Paul maurice to be in the mix, and then maintain a PPG% that they haven't had all year.

Yes it's getting closer...but I still don't want to see this team go into "buy" mode. I agree that this team is much better under PoMo, but I don't think 7-2 is sustatinable, and we pretty much have to play this way for our next 9 games to stay realistically within striking distance.

that's asking a lot.

It's not unheard of and it is doable, but its not nearly as easy as "winning two" like the basic point spread would say.

This is actually really good example of how the 3 point system makes the race look a lot closer then it really is.

 

[knorthern knight]

Results including games played on Thursday, Feb 6th. I use points-per-game to sort, so games-in-hand can cause teams with fewer points to be ranked higher. But Minnesota is in the tougher Central, so LA still gets a 3rd seed. Their worries are Phoenix and Vancouver.

We need 5 consecutive wins to beat Phoenix's Points-Per-Game to get a wildcard spot. I'm now including the baseball-style Games-Behind-Wildcard in the main table. The number of games is relative to the team in the 2nd wildcard slot. Here are the numbers...

Team | GP | Pts | PPG | Extr ||
CENTRAL ||||||
St Louis|56|82|1.464|120||
Chicago|59|84|1.424|117||
Colorado|57|77|1.351|111||
PACIFIC ||||||
Anaheim|59|85|1.441|118||
San Jose|58|78|1.345|110||
Los Angeles|59|68|1.153|95||
WILD CARD |||||| GBW
Minnesota|59|69|1.169|96||-2
Phoenix|56|62|1.107|91||0
Dallas|57|62|1.088|89||0.5
Vancouver|59|63|1.068|88||1
Nashville|58|60|1.034|85||2
Winnipeg|59|61|1.034|85||2
Calgary|57|51|0.895|73||6
Edmonton|59|46|0.78|64||9.5

 

[knorthern knight]

Results as of the Olympic break. I use points-per-game to sort, so games-in-hand can cause teams with fewer points to be ranked higher. But Minnesota is in the tougher Central, so LA still gets a 3rd seed. Their worries are Dallas and Phoenix.

We need 5 consecutive wins to beat Dallas'/Phoenix's Points-Per-Game to get a wildcard spot. I'm now including the baseball-style Games-Behind-Wildcard in the main table. The number of games is relative to the team in the 2nd wildcard slot. Here are the numbers...

Team | GP | Pts | PPG | Extr ||
CENTRAL ||||||
St Louis|57|84|1.474|121||
Chicago|60|84|1.4|115||
Colorado|58|79|1.362|112||
PACIFIC ||||||
Anaheim|60|87|1.45|119||
San Jose|59|80|1.356|111||
Los Angeles|59|68|1.153|95||
WILD CARD |||||| GBW
Minnesota|59|69|1.169|96||-2
Dallas|58|64|1.103|90||0
Phoenix|58|64|1.103|90||0
Vancouver|60|63|1.05|86||1.5
Winnipeg|60|62|1.033|85||2
Nashville|59|60|1.017|83||2.5
Calgary|58|51|0.879|72||6.5
Edmonton|60|47|0.783|64||9.5

 

[YWGinYYZ]

Lately, Jets have been playing at an astounding pace, which is probably unsustainable. They've definitely gotten themselves back into the picture though (especially since the PO line for points has regressed back to the historical norm), and if they can sustain this after the Olympics break, our chances are looking better.

I like your GBW knorthern - I wonder if someone should start tracking the "magic" number for a PO spot vs. being eliminated as well. I think someone on the main boards does this as the PO's get closer.

 

[knorthern knight]

I like your GBW knorthern - I wonder if someone should start tracking the "magic" number for a PO spot vs. being eliminated as well. I think someone on the main boards does this as the PO's get closer.

It's a simple matter to add a "max-points" column to my spreadsheet output. Basically

( 82 - #games_played ) * 2 + current_point_total

I have the spreadsheet set up to export to text with "|" as the delimiter. This works beautifully for cut-n-paste into the HFBoards table format.

For "unofficial elimination", I would use the "the maximum points a team can get (i.e. win all remaining games) gives them fewer points than what the 2nd wildcard team is currently extrapolated to get". E.g. Dallas/Phoenix are currently extrapolated to 90 points. Edmonton has 22 games left. They can get an absolute max of ( 22 * 2 ) + 47 = 91 points.

 

[knorthern knight]

Results including games played on Feb 27. I use points-per-game to sort, so games-in-hand can cause teams with fewer points to be ranked higher. But Minnesota is in the tougher Central, so LA still gets a 3rd seed. LA's worries are Vancouver and Phoenix.

We still need 5 consecutive wins to beat Dallas' Points-Per-Game to get a wildcard spot. I'm now including the maximum points that each team can get, assuming it wins all its remaining games. This is for determining mathematical elimination. Here are the numbers...

Team | GP | Pts | PPG | Extr | Max |
CENTRAL ||||||
St Louis|58|84|1.448|119|132|
Chicago|61|84|1.377|113|126|
Colorado|59|79|1.339|110|125|
PACIFIC
Anaheim|60|87|1.45|119|131|
San Jose|60|82|1.367|112|126|
Los Angeles|61|72|1.18|97|114|
WILD CARD |||||| GBW
Minnesota|60|71|1.183|97|115|-2
Dallas|59|66|1.119|92|112|0
Phoenix|59|65|1.102|90|111|0.5
Vancouver|61|65|1.066|87|107|1.5
Winnipeg|61|64|1.049|86|106|2
Nashville|60|62|1.033|85|106|2.5
Calgary|59|51|0.864|71|97|7.5
Edmonton|61|47|0.77|63|89|10.5

With 2nd wildcard (Dallas) extrapolating to 92 points, we need a record like 14-7-0, or equivalent, in our remaining 21 games. Losing 15 points (regulation and/or OT/SO losses) will likely kill our playoff hopes.

 

[KingBogo]

Results including games played on Feb 27. I use points-per-game to sort, so games-in-hand can cause teams with fewer points to be ranked higher. But Minnesota is in the tougher Central, so LA still gets a 3rd seed. LA's worries are Vancouver and Phoenix.

We still need 5 consecutive wins to beat Dallas' Points-Per-Game to get a wildcard spot. I'm now including the maximum points that each team can get, assuming it wins all its remaining games. This is for determining mathematical elimination. Here are the numbers...

Team | GP | Pts | PPG | Extr | Max |
CENTRAL ||||||
St Louis|58|84|1.448|119|132|
Chicago|61|84|1.377|113|126|
Colorado|59|79|1.339|110|125|
PACIFIC
Anaheim|60|87|1.45|119|131|
San Jose|60|82|1.367|112|126|
Los Angeles|61|72|1.18|97|114|
WILD CARD |||||| GBW
Minnesota|60|71|1.183|97|115|-2
Dallas|59|66|1.119|92|112|0
Phoenix|59|65|1.102|90|111|0.5
Vancouver|61|65|1.066|87|107|1.5
Winnipeg|61|64|1.049|86|106|2
Nashville|60|62|1.033|85|106|2.5
Calgary|59|51|0.864|71|97|7.5
Edmonton|61|47|0.77|63|89|10.5

With 2nd wildcard (Dallas) extrapolating to 92 points, we need a record like 14-7-0, or equivalent, in our remaining 21 games. Losing 15 points (regulation and/or OT/SO losses) will likely kill our playoff hopes.

Nice chart. Agreed 92 points gives us a shot. I think something like 14-5-2 for 94 points would definitely do it. Basically have to win 2/3 of games and sneak a few loser points in our loses.

 

[CaptainChef]

Unless that mid-90s number has changed, they clearly have a huge uphill battle. Here is one scenario that might get them there:
- win half of their 7 games vs the big guys plus 1 OT loss = 7 pts
- win both vs NYI & Calg = 4 pts
- win 3 of 4 from bubble eastern teams = 6 pts
- win 7 of 9 plus 1 OT loss vs bubble western teams = 15 pts
********
Sticking by my earlier assessment (whats it gonna take thread). They've got 2 of those 15 points against bubble teams done after last night, beating those bubble teams will still make or break their chances.

 

[sting13]

Unless that mid-90s number has changed, they clearly have a huge uphill battle. Here is one scenario that might get them there:
- win half of their 7 games vs the big guys plus 1 OT loss = 7 pts
- win both vs NYI & Calg = 4 pts
- win 3 of 4 from bubble eastern teams = 6 pts
- win 7 of 9 plus 1 OT loss vs bubble western teams = 15 pts
********
Sticking by my earlier assessment (whats it gonna take thread). They've got 2 of those 15 points against bubble teams done after last night, beating those bubble teams will still make or break their chances.

Yeah but that bubble team got a point last night as well. We need clear wins.

 

[pegjets]

Points|11/4/2013|11/12/2013|11/20/2013|12/9/2013|1/14/2014|1/22/14|1/27/14|2/28/24
105|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%
104|99.9%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%
103|99.9%|99.8%|99.5%|99.3%|100%|100%|100%|100%
102|99.9%|99.5%|98.6%|97.7%|99.9%|100%|100%|100%
101|99.6%|98.6%|96.8%|95.1%|99.6%|100%|100%|100%
100|98.9%|96.6%|93.1%|90.0%|98.9%|99.8%|99.8%|100%
99|97.3%|93.2%|86.5%|81.5%|97.3%|99.0%|99.5%|99.6%
98|94.0%|87.1%|77.0%|70.2%|94.3%|97.6%|98.7%|98.8%
97|88.2%|78.8%|65.0%|57.3%|89.3%|95.2%|96.2%|97.1%
96|79.4%|67.5%|51.1%|43.4%|81.9%|90.0%|92.0%|93.5%
95|--|--|--|--|--|83.0%|85.0%|86.9%
94|--|--|--|--|--|72.3%|74.5%|76.6%
93|--|--|--|--|--|60.2%|60.9%|62.4%
92|--|--|--|--|--|46.7%|46.1%|56.0%
91|--|--|--|--|--|33.5%|31.8%|29.9%

Playoff line continues its downward trend since the beginning of December... 94 points would give a 76% chance of making the playoffs. It is almost all but certain that 96 point would guarantee the playoff mark. I would probably put my money on 95 points right now - there are still a few games between teams in the wildcard races that could swing the playoff line +/- 2 points in this last stretch.

For the Jets to get to 95 points, we are looking at records like the following:

15-5-1
14-4-3

Need a streak of favourable results to help us there (i.e. less 3 point games for our rivals, clean losses, clean wins). If the Jets lose 2 in a row, or 2 within 5 games, then the playoff race is probably done.

 

[HannuJ]

go look at Dallas's remaining schedule. a few games with the Jets, Blues and 1 with Chicago. otherwise, it is a bit of a cakewalk.
sigh....

 

[truck]

go look at Dallas's remaining schedule. a few games with the Jets, Blues and 1 with Chicago. otherwise, it is a bit of a cakewalk.
sigh....

The Stars are alsp the 7th best Fenwick team in tbe NHL and they have a quality goalie. If I had to bet on a team making a late push, I'd probably bet on them.

 

[JetsHomer]

The Stars are alsp the 7th best Fenwick team in tbe NHL and they have a quality goalie. If I had to bet on a team making a late push, I'd probably bet on them.

They have by far the worst D of the bubble teams though. That could hold them back if Lehtonen slows down

 

[knorthern knight]

Results including games played on March 1st. I use points-per-game to sort, so games-in-hand can cause teams with fewer points to be ranked higher. But Minnesota is in the tougher Central, so LA still gets a 3rd seed. LA's worries are Vancouver and Phoenix.

We still need 4 consecutive wins to beat Dallas' Points-Per-Game to get a wildcard spot. I'm now including the maximum points that each team can get, assuming it wins all its remaining games. This is for determining mathematical elimination. Here are the numbers...

Team | GP | Pts | PPG | Extr | Max |
CENTRAL
St Louis|59|84|1.424|117|130|
Chicago|62|86|1.387|114|126|
Colorado|60|81|1.35|111|125|
PACIFIC
Anaheim|61|89|1.459|120|131|
San Jose|61|82|1.344|110|124|
Los Angeles|62|74|1.194|98|114|
WILD CARD |||||| GBW
Minnesota|61|73|1.197|98|115|-3
Dallas|60|66|1.1|90|110|0
Phoenix|60|65|1.083|89|109|0.5
Vancouver|62|66|1.065|87|106|1
Winnipeg|62|66|1.065|87|106|1
Nashville|61|62|1.016|83|104|2.5
Calgary|60|53|0.883|72|97|6.5
Edmonton|62|48|0.774|63|88|10

There are currently 4 tiers of teams in the west

1. 5 teams with 80+ points are virtually guaranteed top-3 divisional playoff seeds
   • Chicago
   • St Louis
   • Colorado
   • Anaheim
   • San Jose
2. 2 teams with 70 to 79 points are pretty solid, althought not guaranteed 3rd seed (Los Angeles), or first wildcard (Minnesota)
3. 5 Teams with 60 to 69 points are scrambling for the one remaining wildcard spot
   • Dallas
   • Phoenix
   • Vancouver
   • Winnipeg
   • Nashville
4. Calgary+Edmonton

With the 2nd wildcard team (Dallas) extrapolating to 90 points, a 13-7-0 record, or equivalant, in our last 20 games stands a chance of getting us in. Don't forget Vancouver and Phoenix. They could still make things interesting.

 

[knorthern knight]

Results including games played on March 4th. I use points-per-game to sort, so games-in-hand can cause teams with fewer points to be ranked higher. But Minnesota is in the tougher Central, so LA still gets a 3rd seed. LA's worries are Vancouver and Phoenix.

We still need 4 consecutive wins to beat Dallas' Points-Per-Game to get a wildcard spot. I'm now including the maximum points that each team can get, assuming it wins all its remaining games. This is for determining mathematical elimination. Here are the numbers...

Team | GP | Pts | PPG | Extr | Max |
CENTRAL |||||||
St Louis|61|88|1.443|118|130|
Colorado|62|85|1.371|112|125|
Chicago|63|86|1.365|112|124|
PACIFIC ||||||
Anaheim|62|91|1.468|120|131|
San Jose|62|84|1.355|111|124|
Los Angeles|63|76|1.206|99|114|
WILD CARD |||||| GBW |
Minnesota|62|75|1.21|99|115|-3.5
Dallas|62|68|1.097|90|108|0
Phoenix|62|67|1.081|89|107|0.5
Winnipeg|63|67|1.063|87|105|1
Vancouver|64|66|1.031|85|102|2
Nashville|62|62|1|82|102|3
Calgary|61|53|0.869|71|95|7
Edmonton|63|50|0.794|65|88|9.5

Minnesota has a lock on the 1st wildcard spot, barring a complete collapse. The only battle left is for the final wildcard spot. Dallas/Phoenix/Winnipeg/Vancouver are in a tight bunch, separated by only 2 points. Dallas+Phoenix have a game-in-hand on Winnipeg, and 2 on Vancouver. Nashville, with 2 consecutive losses is starting to fall out of the race.

With the 2nd wildcard team (Dallas) extrapolating to 90 points, a 13-6-0 record, or equivalant, in our last 19 games stands a chance of getting us in.

 

[enarwpg]

Results including games played on March 4th. I use points-per-game to sort, so games-in-hand can cause teams with fewer points to be ranked higher. But Minnesota is in the tougher Central, so LA still gets a 3rd seed. LA's worries are Vancouver and Phoenix.

We still need 4 consecutive wins to beat Dallas' Points-Per-Game to get a wildcard spot. I'm now including the maximum points that each team can get, assuming it wins all its remaining games. This is for determining mathematical elimination. Here are the numbers...

Team | GP | Pts | PPG | Extr | Max |
CENTRAL |||||||
St Louis|61|88|1.443|118|130|
Colorado|62|85|1.371|112|125|
Chicago|63|86|1.365|112|124|
PACIFIC ||||||
Anaheim|62|91|1.468|120|131|
San Jose|62|84|1.355|111|124|
Los Angeles|63|76|1.206|99|114|
WILD CARD |||||| GBW |
Minnesota|62|75|1.21|99|115|-3.5
Dallas|62|68|1.097|90|108|0
Phoenix|62|67|1.081|89|107|0.5
Winnipeg|63|67|1.063|87|105|1
Vancouver|64|66|1.031|85|102|2
Nashville|62|62|1|82|102|3
Calgary|61|53|0.869|71|95|7
Edmonton|63|50|0.794|65|88|9.5

Minnesota has a lock on the 1st wildcard spot, barring a complete collapse. The only battle left is for the final wildcard spot. Dallas/Phoenix/Winnipeg/Vancouver are in a tight bunch, separated by only 2 points. Dallas+Phoenix have a game-in-hand on Winnipeg, and 2 on Vancouver. Nashville, with 2 consecutive losses is starting to fall out of the race.

With the 2nd wildcard team (Dallas) extrapolating to 90 points, a 13-6-0 record, or equivalant, in our last 19 games stands a chance of getting us in.

.
It's simply amazing there's people out there that still believe that the Jets have a chance of making the playoffs...

To reach 95 points they need to win 13 of their remaining 18 games (72.2% win record required) and get 2 overtime losses. Possible yes, probable NO way!

 

[knorthern knight]

.
It's simply amazing there's people out there that still believe that the Jets have a chance of making the playoffs...

To reach 95 points they need to win 13 of their remaining 18 games (72.2% win record required) and get 2 overtime losses. Possible yes, probable NO way!

Team | GP | Pts | PPG | Extr | Max |
CENTRAL |||||||
St Louis|63|92|1.46|120|130|
Chicago|64|88|1.375|113|124|
Colorado|64|87|1.359|111|123|
PACIFIC
Anaheim|64|93|1.453|119|129|
San Jose|65|89|1.369|112|123|
Los Angeles|64|78|1.219|100|114|
WILD CARD |||||| GBW |
Minnesota|63|75|1.19|98|113|-2
Dallas|64|72|1.125|92|108|0
Phoenix|64|69|1.078|88|105|1.5
Winnipeg|65|67|1.031|85|101|3
Vancouver|66|68|1.03|84|100|3
Nashville|64|62|0.969|79|98|5
Calgary|64|57|0.891|73|93|7.5
Edmonton|64|52|0.813|67|88|10

With Scheifele out, and Pavelec in, we can forget about it. Pavelec needs to be bought out this summer, with Pasquale/Hutchinson/Montoya fighting for starting position in camp. The classic definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over, and expecting different results. Pavs must go.

We're in "next-year territory" already. Extend Maurice, and have him start from square 1, instead of in a deep hole, and with even a competent AHL starting goalie we should make the playoffs next season.

 

[knorthern knight]

Results including games played 2014/03/10. Winnipeg keeps falling further out of the picture. I really doubt they'll go 12-4-0 in their remaining 16 games to catch Dallas+Phoenix.

Team | GP | Pts | PPG | Extr | Max |
CENTRAL
St Louis|64|94|1.469|120|130|
Chicago|65|90|1.385|114|124|
Colorado|65|89|1.369|112|123|
PACIFIC
Anaheim|65|93|1.431|117|127|
San Jose|65|89|1.369|112|123|
Los Angeles|66|82|1.242|102|114|
WILD CARD |||||| GBW |
Minnesota|64|76|1.188|97|112|-2
Dallas|64|72|1.125|92|108|0
Phoenix|65|71|1.092|90|105|1
Winnipeg|66|68|1.03|84|100|3
Vancouver|67|68|1.015|83|98|3.5
Nashville|65|64|0.985|81|98|4.5
Calgary|65|57|0.877|72|91|8
Edmonton|65|52|0.8|66|86|10.5

 

[pegjets]

Well I said before if the Jets lose 2 games in a row, or 2 within a 5 game stretch, it would be over. Well they did exactly that, and I would say that it near statistically impossible at this point. Last Wildcard spot looks to be around 94/95 points right now.

Time to archive this thread

Points|11/4/2013|11/12/2013|11/20/2013|12/9/2013|1/14/2014|1/22/14|1/27/14|2/28/14|3/12/14
105|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%
104|99.9%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%
103|99.9%|99.8%|99.5%|99.3%|100%|100%|100%|100%|100%
102|99.9%|99.5%|98.6%|97.7%|99.9%|100%|100%|100%|100%
101|99.6%|98.6%|96.8%|95.1%|99.6%|100%|100%|100%|100%
100|98.9%|96.6%|93.1%|90.0%|98.9%|99.8%|99.8%|100%|100%
99|97.3%|93.2%|86.5%|81.5%|97.3%|99.0%|99.5%|99.6%|99.8%
98|94.0%|87.1%|77.0%|70.2%|94.3%|97.6%|98.7%|98.8%|99.4%
97|88.2%|78.8%|65.0%|57.3%|89.3%|95.2%|96.2%|97.1%|97.9%
96|79.4%|67.5%|51.1%|43.4%|81.9%|90.0%|92.0%|93.5%|94.7%
95|--|--|--|--|--|83.0%|85.0%|86.9%|88.3%
94|--|--|--|--|--|72.3%|74.5%|76.6%|77.8%
93|--|--|--|--|--|60.2%|60.9%|62.4%|62.9%
92|--|--|--|--|--|46.7%|46.1%|56.0%|46.0%
91|--|--|--|--|--|33.5%|31.8%|29.9%|29.5%

 

[knorthern knight]

Results including games played 2014/03/16. Winnipeg is not eliminated yet, but I really doubt they'll go 11-2-0 in their remaining 13 games to overtake Dallas+Phoenix+Vancouver.

Team | GP | Pts | PPG | Extr | Max |
CENTRAL |
St Louis|67|99|1.478|121|129|
Colorado|68|93|1.368|112|121|
Chicago|68|92|1.353|111|120|
PACIFIC
Anaheim|68|97|1.426|117|125|
San Jose|69|97|1.406|115|123|
Los Angeles|68|82|1.206|99|110|
WILD CARD |||||| GBW |
Minnesota|67|80|1.194|98|110|-2.5
Dallas|67|75|1.119|92|105|0
Phoenix|68|75|1.103|90|103|0.5
Winnipeg|69|71|1.029|84|97|3
Vancouver|70|72|1.029|84|96|3
Nashville|68|68|1|82|96|4
Calgary|68|61|0.897|74|89|7.5
Edmonton|69|57|0.826|68|83|10

 

[knorthern knight]

Results including games played 2014/03/19. Winnipeg has 73 points and Phoenix is on track to finish with 92. Winnipeg is not eliminated yet, but I really doubt they'll go 10-0-1 in their remaining 11 games to overtake Phoenix+Dallas.

Team | GP | Pts | PPG | Extr | Max |
CENTRAL
St Louis|69|101|1.464|120|127
Chicago|70|95|1.357|111|119
Colorado|70|94|1.343|110|118
PACIFIC
Anaheim|69|97|1.406|115|123
San Jose|70|97|1.386|114|121
Los Angeles|69|82|1.188|97|108
WILD CARD |||||| GBW
Minnesota|69|82|1.188|97|108|-2.5
Phoenix|69|77|1.116|92|103|0
Dallas|68|75|1.103|90|103|0.5
Winnipeg|71|73|1.028|84|95|3
Vancouver|72|74|1.028|84|94|3
Nashville|70|68|0.971|80|92|5
Calgary|69|63|0.913|75|89|7
Edmonton|70|59|0.843|69|83|9.5

 

[KingBogo]

Results including games played 2014/03/19. Winnipeg has 73 points and Phoenix is on track to finish with 92. Winnipeg is not eliminated yet, but I really doubt they'll go 10-0-1 in their remaining 11 games to overtake Phoenix+Dallas.

Team | GP | Pts | PPG | Extr | Max |
CENTRAL
St Louis|69|101|1.464|120|127
Chicago|70|95|1.357|111|119
Colorado|70|94|1.343|110|118
PACIFIC
Anaheim|69|97|1.406|115|123
San Jose|70|97|1.386|114|121
Los Angeles|69|82|1.188|97|108
WILD CARD |||||| GBW
Minnesota|69|82|1.188|97|108|-2.5
Phoenix|69|77|1.116|92|103|0
Dallas|68|75|1.103|90|103|0.5
Winnipeg|71|73|1.028|84|95|3
Vancouver|72|74|1.028|84|94|3
Nashville|70|68|0.971|80|92|5
Calgary|69|63|0.913|75|89|7
Edmonton|70|59|0.843|69|83|9.5

Its been staying pretty steady over the last couple months that the final total needed to get in will be in that 91-93 points range. That gives you a 43-59-77 % chance. So we are looking 9-2 best case scenario, but 10-1-1 at least gives you over a 50-50 chance. No likely especially with their schedule, but I just can't make myself cheer for anything else but.