GordieHoweHatTrick
Registered User
I would actually say Leafs are heavy favourites.
In fact, of all the games going on tonight, the only team I would say is more likely to win than the Leafs would be Edmonton, who are playing the Sabres.
I'm pretty sure the Sabres are deliberately trying to lose games at this point.
Also, from a corsi/fenwick POV, the Leafs, in their last 4 weeks of home games, have a corsi for % of 54.8 (score within 1) at 5v5. Arizona has CF% of 44.7 for away games.
As a comparison, the Sabres have a corsi for % of 35.6 on the road over that span. So yeah, they're pretty much allowing on average 1:2 shots for/against.
Imagine if this was boxing and the Sabres were allowing their opponent to land two punches every time they tried to land one... yeesh...
I love this analogy. Well done