Shouldn't be a problem for a team built by Marc Bergevin.I badly hope we lose in 3 games so this season is finally done and over for good.
Combined Stanley Cups on current roster:
=
= 21
I realize many are upset about potentially dropping 8 spots in the draft. I think that is overblown because most believe the only way to win is to draft in the top 10.
Here is a bit of history between the 8th OA and 16th OA picks between 2003 and 2016 (the significant majority of players playing in the NHL at the moment)
8th OA selections: Coburn, Picard, Setoguchi, Mueller, Hamill, Boedker, Glennie, Burmistrov, Couturier, Pouliot, Ristolainen, W Nylander, Werenski, A Nylander.
Couturier, W Nylander and Werenski are certainly star players. No cups yet.
16th OA selections: Bernier, Nokelainen, Bourret, Wishart, Gillies, Colbourne, Leddy, Tarasenko, Armia, T Wilson, Zadorov, Milano, Barzal, Chychrun.
Some very good players drafted at 16th OA too. Including 3 Stanley Cup Winners in Leddy, Tarasenko and Wilson.
The argument tends to be that you need a top 10 pick to win the cup.
Correction - you need a top 5 pick.
Ironically, more players drafted 16th OA have won a cup than all 70 players drafted between 6-10 OA.
- 18 players out of the 140 players picked top 10 have won the cup.
- 16 of those 18 players were drafted top 5.
- Only 2 players drafted between 6-10 OA won a cup (Connolly and Frolik) and they were not the guys that carried them there.
This doesn’t mean that 16OAs have a higher chance of winning a Cup than 6-10OAs and that we have a better chance at a Cup in the future if we draft 16th this year. There’s zero causality here.I realize many are upset about potentially dropping 8 spots in the draft. I think that is overblown because most believe the only way to win is to draft in the top 10.
Here is a bit of history between the 8th OA and 16th OA picks between 2003 and 2016 (the significant majority of players playing in the NHL at the moment)
8th OA selections: Coburn, Picard, Setoguchi, Mueller, Hamill, Boedker, Glennie, Burmistrov, Couturier, Pouliot, Ristolainen, W Nylander, Werenski, A Nylander.
Couturier, W Nylander and Werenski are certainly star players. No cups yet.
16th OA selections: Bernier, Nokelainen, Bourret, Wishart, Gillies, Colbourne, Leddy, Tarasenko, Armia, T Wilson, Zadorov, Milano, Barzal, Chychrun.
Some very good players drafted at 16th OA too. Including 3 Stanley Cup Winners in Leddy, Tarasenko and Wilson.
The argument tends to be that you need a top 10 pick to win the cup.
Correction - you need a top 5 pick.
Ironically, more players drafted 16th OA have won a cup than all 70 players drafted between 6-10 OA.
- 18 players out of the 140 players picked top 10 have won the cup.
- 16 of those 18 players were drafted top 5.
- Only 2 players drafted between 6-10 OA won a cup (Connolly and Frolik) and they were not the guys that carried them there.
I realize many are upset about potentially dropping 8 spots in the draft. I think that is overblown because most believe the only way to win is to draft in the top 10.
Here is a bit of history between the 8th OA and 16th OA picks between 2003 and 2016 (the significant majority of players playing in the NHL at the moment)
8th OA selections: Coburn, Picard, Setoguchi, Mueller, Hamill, Boedker, Glennie, Burmistrov, Couturier, Pouliot, Ristolainen, W Nylander, Werenski, A Nylander.
Couturier, W Nylander and Werenski are certainly star players. No cups yet.
16th OA selections: Bernier, Nokelainen, Bourret, Wishart, Gillies, Colbourne, Leddy, Tarasenko, Armia, T Wilson, Zadorov, Milano, Barzal, Chychrun.
Some very good players drafted at 16th OA too. Including 3 Stanley Cup Winners in Leddy, Tarasenko and Wilson.
The argument tends to be that you need a top 10 pick to win the cup.
Correction - you need a top 5 pick.
Ironically, more players drafted 16th OA have won a cup than all 70 players drafted between 6-10 OA.
- 18 players out of the 140 players picked top 10 have won the cup.
- 16 of those 18 players were drafted top 5.
- Only 2 players drafted between 6-10 OA won a cup (Connolly and Frolik) and they were not the guys that carried them there.
Grapes really like our potential for this post season or specifically Price
The large problem with your analysis (well done btw), is that it doesn't take into account the gross incompetence of this management team when it comes to drafting and then developing. It's impossible for us to know if players that have busted are because they failed, or the Habs failed them. I feel that having a high pick can give the next Habs management a chance because it could be an "easy" pick. I do not trust anything this management group does, they are so lost in what it takes to build a winning franchise, I have no faith in them to draft a quality player and have him develop to reach his maximum potential.
As much as we heard about the Carey Price fear factor when determining the playoff system, there wasn’t anyone on the panel who actually thought he would be enough for Montreal to advance. “This is like the Yankees playing against a Triple-A team,” said the coach. “They’re so far apart on where they are on the curve. Penguins are detailed. They’ve won. They’re experienced. They’re top to bottom great. I think the Canadiens are lucky to be there.”
If all fails they always have Karl Alzner they can call up.Every team's goaltending is a massive X-factor but yeah I would probably rate Price's chances of going beast mode higher than Petr Mrzaks.
That said I think the Habs most interesting advantage is their 5v5 play especially early into the season we've seen the past few years where their speed and intensity can put unready teams on the ropes. It's hard to maintain over 82 games so we see the mid-season fade, but could do well coming off a break with fresh leagues and catching teams unready. There's big weaknesses too though, obviously, especially special teams, gotta hope they catch some rusty powerplay units.