Ott's and Philly's firsts can turn out to be Hedmans or Matthews and then again they can turn out to be Galchenyuks and Drouins and if the hockey gods really want to have fun they can turn out to be Yakupovs and Siemens. That's one problem with your plan. Another problem is your team will change drastically in four years. Go compare any team's roster from today to four year's ago. So you're making plans not knowing what you will have in four years.
My take is we have a decent team right now. And an extremely young team. One of the youngest. Build on that. We have two different philosophies.
Yes, maybe it's Matthews, maybe it's Yakupov, but even Yakupov could have been traded early while still valuable. McGuire at the time said that if he were in Edmonton's shoes, he'd ask Montreal for Subban if he were to send the #1 overall their way. Not saying Mtl would have done that, but just goes to show you how a #1 overall, at the time of the draft, is always valuable.
It only
becomes a problem if you don't manage your asset well.
Also, if we have our pick + phillies + ottawas...that's 3 potential top 10 picks. Considering we would lose Price-Weber, maybe that drops us down to bottom 5, and lands us three top 5 picks.
How will our team look like in 4 years...Nobody knows for us, and they don't know for any team. What will Edmonton look like? Philly? Toronto? Nashville? And every other team? Nobody knows. Not sure how that's an argument or problem.
But I can tell you that with my plan, the objective is to stock up more kids this year+next. After that, you start trading some prospects and signing support players to become more competitive.
Of course, if you do that and end up trading Eberle for Strome as well as Hall for Larsson, well then that's a different problem.
Ya...we are a decent team, far from contention, struggling to cling onto that last PO spot, with no clear direction as to whether we will trade futures for present help, trade vets for future help, or just not take much risk either way and ride the wave...wait for our current prospects to develop, while our veterans drop in efficacy....and we can watch us make the same mistakes again....Super. Can't wait.