Using games played isn't the greatest benchmark for drafting success, it is a good indicator but not the greatest quantity vs quality
I still feel Mtl (under Timmins) is above avg. specially since 8 of the 10 years they didn't have 1st, 2nd or 3rd round pick and thees are money pick. Mtl have had great success in the later round unfortunately does aren't usually difference maker.
2004 no 2nd round pick
2005 no 3rd round pick
2005 no 1st round pick
2009 no 2nd round pick
2010 no 2nd round pick or 3rd round pick
2011 no 2nd round pick or 3rd round pick
The issue has been developpement and questionable asset mangement
Top 5 first rounders usually crack NHL. 5-10 usually find their way to the NHL after 1-3 years. Less than half of the 11-30's find their way to the NHL after 3-5 years.
Using the 2009 draft as reference, with games played as the reference point:
Code:
1 John Tavares C 350
2 Victor Hedman D 333
3 Matt Duchene C 337
4 Evander Kane C 324
5 Brayden Schenn C 192
6 O.Ekman-Larsson D 258
7 Nazem Kadri C 177
8 Scott Glennie C 1
9 Jared Cowen D 158
10 M. P.-Svensson L 218
11 Ryan Ellis D 144
12 Calvin de Haan D 52
13 Zack Kassian R 156
14 Dmitri Kulikov D 313
15 Peter Holland C 68
16 Nick Leddy D 258
17 David Rundblad D 55
18 Louis Leblanc C 50
19 Chris Kreider C 89
20 Jacob Josefson C 118
21 John Moore D 173
22 Jordan Schroeder C 56
23 Tim Erixon D 51
24 Marcus Johansson C 263
25 Jordan Caron R 123
26 Kyle Palmieri R 141
27 Philippe Paradis L
28 Dylan Olsen D 72
29 Carter Ashton R 47
30 Simon Despres D 85
All of top 4 have played 300+ games, Schenn is almost at 200. 4/5 6-10 have 150+ games (with one who has played 1 game). Of the remaining 11-30, 3 have 200+ games, another 6 have 100+ games, another 3 have 70+ games.
Of all the second rounders, 8 have played 70+ games since their draft. Of all the third rounders, 3 have played 70+ games since their draft. Fourth rounders, 4 have played 70+ games. Fifth rounders, 4 have played 70+ games.
Obviously games played isnt a full indicator, because sometimes these players get called up due to circumstance (injuries/are rushed), and some players are held back due to the same circumstance (dont want to rush, no need to call up). But its usually a pretty solid factor of "did you make it to the NHL".
But I really wouldnt call a third round pick "money". Anything after the second round is throwing darts. If you think 2009 is an anomoly:
2008 draft year. Gonna cut off "success" at 100 games, since if you have played 100 games 5 years after your draft (these guys are all 23-24 by now), you probably wont make it:
2nd-7 players (1 at 96)
3rd-5 players
4th-4 players (1 at 97)
5th-4 players
6th-4 players (1 at 95)
7th-1 player
3rd round has drawn as much NHL success as 4th 5th and 6th in 2008.
How about 2007?
2nd round: 4 at 200+, 2 more at 130+
3rd round: 0 at 200+, 2 at 130+ (1 with 120)
4th round: 2 at 200+ (including that jazzhands guy), 2 more at 130+ (and another 2 with 126 and 129)
5th round: 1 with 300+ games (Jamie Benn), and another with 130+
6th round: 2 with 130+ games (and 1 more at 120+). Oh, included in that 6th round here, some guy named Carl Hagelin
7th round: 2 players with 200+ games.
That third round "money" pick, wasnt money there either. In fact it was LESS successful than the other rounds, yes even the 7th round.
The only "money" pick is a top 15. After that its more or less flinging mud at a wall hoping something sticks. Some people attribute it to skilled drafting, but I sincerely doubt Detroit let Datsyuk sit till 171 and opted to draft Jiri Fischer as well as Ryan Barnes, Tomek Valtonen, Jake McCracken, Brent Hobday, Carl Steen and Adam DeLeeuw above him (none of them ever even played a NHL game fyi) because they knew they had a gem no one would draft.