He did say that the score is based on 5v5 eP1/60, Age adjustment to 22, and a contribution from total shot rate in the form of eSh/60. JP's still a legit high end prospect.
And I don't really care about Guentzel. JP getting written off this early reminds me exactly of the Draisaitl bashers after his rookie season where Bennett fanboys were labeling him as a lazy and slow bust.
Let's break down the factors reportedly going into this score:
5v5 eP1/60 + eSh/60 + "Age Factor" = Ranking
5v5 eP1/60
Guentzel - 3.19
Puljujarvi - 1.60
Objective conclusion - Guentzel's score for this factor should be double Puljujarvi's.
eSh/60
Guentzel - 9.97
Puljujarvi - 9.91
Objective conclusion - essentially no difference
"Age Adjustment to 22"
Guentzel - ???
Puljujarvi - ???
Final Score:
Guentzel = 3.19 * X + 9.97 * Y + ??? = 4.14
Puljujarvi = 1.60 * X + 9.91 * Y + ??? = 5.43 (and a "Top, Top Prospect")
Algebraically:
Guentzel = 2x + y + "Age Factor" = 4.14
Puljujarvi = x + y + "Age Factor" = 5.43
Throwing in an arbitrary shadow factor into any analysis makes it useless. Statistically it just doesn't check out in this case. Whatever age weight he used to calculate the final score is unrealistic.