The last twenty 21st overall picks:
2014 - Kasperi Kapanen
2013 - Frederik Gauthier
2012 - Mark Jankowski
2011 - Stefan Noesen
2010 - Riley Sheahan
2009 - John Moore
2008 - Anton Gustafsson
2007 - Riley Nash
2006 - Bob Sanguinetti
2005 - Tuukka Rask
2004 - Wojtek Wolski
2003 - Mark Stuart
2002 - Anton Babchuk
2001 - Colby Armstrong
2000 - Anton Volchenkov
1999 - Nick Boynton
1998 - Mathieu Biron
1997 - Mika Noronen
1996 - Marco Sturm
1995 - Sean Brown
a) It did take quite a number of years for most of them to reach the NHL, if they made it at all
b) Once you get to this part of the draft, the good NHLers are few and far between. Rask is a stud, Volchenkov was a very good defensive dman in his day, but the next best player in this list is . . . Marco Sturm? Some see McClement or Steckel as Gauthier's downside, but these two are actually above average for a 21st overall pick
c) I think his downside is a career AHLer, his mid range a Steckel level player, and his upside a Gaustad level player. I can't see him being as good as Hanzal, Hanzal was a full time NHLer putting up 35 points in 72 games at 21, I think Gauthier would be lucky to have that as his best NHL season, period. Hanzal is well on his way to becoming a very good 2C in the NHL, I really don't see that upside with Gauthier