True, but if one of them can play RD, or they look at a guy like Parekh that might be a dude with 70+ potential on d for points, but struggle defensively, so the BJs envision him with Werenski, or Mateychuk.
Agreed. Just look at Vilardi. Was constantly talked about in the top 5 during his draft year and ended up going outside of the top 10 due to injury concerns (specifically his back)
pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
What is average career length for similar aged pros who don’t have this injury? Given brevity of most careers, it’s not clear from abstract that an expectation of 3 years after this injury is out of line with normal expectations for non-injured peers.Somewhere in some thread, someone posted an uncorroborated rumor that Lindstrom is dealing with a herniated disc. If so, I think he slips a long, long way out of the top 10. This study has 82% of Pro athletes returning from a herniated disc within a year, and an average career length after of 3.3 years... not super encouraging for a 17-18yo kid. Maybe things have been better since this study which was over decades thru 2008.
The Professional Athlete Spine Initiative: outcomes after lumbar disc herniation in 342 elite professional athletes - PubMed
Professional athletes diagnosed with an LDH successfully returned to play at a high rate with productive careers after injury. Whereas older athletes have a shorter career length after diagnosis of LDH, experienced players (high number of games played) demonstrate more games played after...
Good question, unclear. However, a C drafted in the top 5 has a ~8 year expected NHL career.
Is his rumored injury same as what has troubled villardi during his young career?
Dunno -- not much info on google for what exactly was ailing him, but back issues are scary and Vilardi is the poster child. Dropped from top 5 to 11OA, and in retrospect I wonder if the Kings wouldn't want to pick Necas or Suzuki or one of the D that came in the next tier.
Man herniated disc can be massively overrated and more of the population than youd expect has them and dont even know
that doesn't answer the question. if the average career is 4.5 years, that doesn't tell us how long the average player's career will last beyond any given point. what we would want to know is how old/experienced are guys who suffer this injury and how does their future career prospects differ because of it. if the average injury like this to an nhl player occurs at age 24 (i am picking age ar random), what is the average career expectation for 24 year olds? how does that compare to the 3 years post-injury that the average career is? i obviously don't know the answer to that, but it's not necessarily much different for guys who have this injury and guys who don't. that is tyoe of info i would want to know before drafting lindstrom, and nothing i've seen so far really sheds much light on how much this is likely to affect his career, if at all. if this is even what his injury is.
Wow, before his injuries he was very likely the 2nd off the board. Who wouldn’t want a big, fast, nasty goal scoring center? But I think he still gets picked somewhere around 10 even if this is true.Somewhere in some thread, someone posted an uncorroborated rumor that Lindstrom is dealing with a herniated disc. If so, I think he slips a long, long way out of the top 10. This study has 82% of Pro athletes returning from a herniated disc within a year, and an average career length after of 3.3 years... not super encouraging for a 17-18yo kid. Maybe things have been better since this study which was over decades thru 2008.
The Professional Athlete Spine Initiative: outcomes after lumbar disc herniation in 342 elite professional athletes - PubMed
Professional athletes diagnosed with an LDH successfully returned to play at a high rate with productive careers after injury. Whereas older athletes have a shorter career length after diagnosis of LDH, experienced players (high number of games played) demonstrate more games played after...
