40 million people isn’t the world coming to an end, but it’s a pretty serious pandemic. I’m not freaking out myself, but to anyone downplaying it like it’s just the flu is far from educated on the matter. If you want to say it’s not accurate because of unreported cases, then that’s fine. Facts:
reported cases are serious, and that’s what all math is based on. Math is also based on bare minimums, meaning if you want to include the high side, and go 60% will contract it, reported or not reported, then saying 20% of that are serious cases still takes your downplaying concerns into the matter, and still allows my math to be accurate. The mortality rate was also downplayed to 3%, which its higher than that amongst confirmed cases. 40 million people is amongst the low side of the guess, if the entire world is in fact at risk.
Reaction is the most important part. Sitting there waiting to see if you’re at risk is a good way to be at risk. You will never prove that over reacting to a pandemic was right or wrong, but I’ll be able to tell you in hindsight if under reaction has happened.
Speed trumps perfection. Making a quick decision, in the case of a global emergency is always going to be better than making the exact perfect one. That quick decision is to treat it like a global pandemic, and death is at risk. Treat it like that, and you can’t go wrong. Don’t treat it like that, and death could be your outcome.