IBleedUnionBlue
Registered User
- Aug 16, 2009
- 2,143
- 0
Unfortunately not all draft picks work out.
He could easily blossom in a different system, but the drama and especially the trade request got him a ticket out of town.
I do wish the return was higher (I was surprised best we could get was a NHL 3rd pairing d-man, I would have rather taken on one of their young guys who wasn't working out), but it was apparent for whatever reason he wasn't happy here.
If you get 2 NHL players out of a draft you are doing well.
Wennberg, Rychel, Dano, Heatherington, Bjorkstrand, Moutrey, Soberg, and Quennville.
That's trending to 4-5 NHL players and 2 impact players. You can't do much better than that.
If you get 2 NHL players out of a draft you are doing well.
Wennberg, Rychel, Dano, Heatherington, Bjorkstrand, Moutrey, Soberg, and Quennville.
That's trending to 4-5 NHL players and 2 impact players. You can't do much better than that.
Exactly. It really is a great draft.
I wouldn't call it great, when you have 3 first rounds and only get one NHL player of them!
You could say that, with the trade of Dano you got 2 NHL'ers of the 3 first rounder, but is look at the player we drafted. Well it was not great. Fine but not great.
What is making this draft fine, is that good scouting and the extreme luck, 29 other scouting letting Bjorkstand slip to us in 3'Th.
Bjorkstrand and Vitali Abramov are just the kind of players that are difficult to predict the development of.
But still it is the draft of Bjorkstand in 3'Th, that is making up for the failures (so far) of Dano
and Rychel in first round.
However if you look at Bjorkstands history before draft, he did had some success playing against men as 16 years old and very undersized. Yes they were not elite men, but still he was not manhandled out, which most 16 years old are, even in the Danish league.
You have no history of Vitali Abramov playing any senior hockey at all, so he is much more an open question, but he has talent as well and have a good chance to become another draft steal.
So in away, drafting Bjorkstand can also be seen as a failure for your scouting team. A lucky failure for you and a major failure for 29 other teams .
I wouldn't call it great, when you have 3 first rounds and only get one NHL player of them!
You could say that, with the trade of Dano you got 2 NHL'ers of the 3 first rounder, but is look at the player we drafted. Well it was not great. Fine but not great.
Rychel and Dano will both be NHL players. Whether they are more than middle 6 wings remains to be seen.
3 NHL players with three mid to late 1st round picks, whether you want to believe it or not, beats all odds.
Just look up the 14th, 19th and 27th of past drafts. I'd bet less than 10% of drafts have three NHL players in those spots.
Rychel and Dano will both be NHL players. Whether they are more than middle 6 wings remains to be seen.
3 NHL players with three mid to late 1st round picks, whether you want to believe it or not, beats all odds.
Just look up the 14th, 19th and 27th of past drafts. I'd bet less than 10% of drafts have three NHL players in those spots.
2004 had Devan Dubnyk, Lauri Korpikoski, and Jeff Schultz.
2001 had Chuck Kobasew, Shaone Morrison, and Jeff Woywitka.
1992 had Sergei Gonchar, Martin Straka, and Boris Mironov.
Went back 25 years and those are the only 14/19/27 combos where all three were NHL players, and even some of those are questionable.
Honorable mentions:
1998 had Patrick DesRochers, Robyn Regehr, and Scott Gomez.
2003 had Brent Seabrook, Ryan Getzlaf, and Jeff Tambellini.
2009 had Dimitri Kulikov, Chris Kreider, and Philippe Paradis.
So I guess what I'm finding is it's rare for even two of 14/19/27 to hit, let alone all three.
2004 had Devan Dubnyk, Lauri Korpikoski, and Jeff Schultz.
2001 had Chuck Kobasew, Shaone Morrison, and Jeff Woywitka.
1992 had Sergei Gonchar, Martin Straka, and Boris Mironov.
Went back 25 years and those are the only 14/19/27 combos where all three were NHL players, and even some of those are questionable.
Honorable mentions:
1998 had Patrick DesRochers, Robyn Regehr, and Scott Gomez.
2003 had Brent Seabrook, Ryan Getzlaf, and Jeff Tambellini.
2009 had Dimitri Kulikov, Chris Kreider, and Philippe Paradis.
So I guess what I'm finding is it's rare for even two of 14/19/27 to hit, let alone all three.
The jury is still out on Dano, he was probably a NHL regular with the Jackets.
Still since then, well it is not looking so bright any more!
Jeff Tambellini, well he was probably technical an NHL player, but I would considerate him a draft failure. He did very well in AHL, but he never did well in NHL. He just didn't translate well to NHL and he was given every chance and more.
I wouldn't call it great, when you have 3 first rounds and only get one NHL player of them!
You could say that, with the trade of Dano you got 2 NHL'ers of the 3 first rounder, but is look at the player we drafted. Well it was not great. Fine but not great.
What is making this draft fine, is that good scouting and the extreme luck, 29 other scouting letting Bjorkstand slip to us in 3'Th.
Bjorkstrand and Vitali Abramov are just the kind of players that are difficult to predict the development of.
But still it is the draft of Bjorkstand in 3'Th, that is making up for the failures (so far) of Dano
and Rychel in first round.
However if you look at Bjorkstands history before draft, he did had some success playing against men as 16 years old and very undersized. Yes they were not elite men, but still he was not manhandled out, which most 16 years old are, even in the Danish league.
You have no history of Vitali Abramov playing any senior hockey at all, so he is much more an open question, but he has talent as well and have a good chance to become another draft steal.
So in away, drafting Bjorkstand can also be seen as a failure for your scouting team. A lucky failure for you and a major failure for 29 other teams .
Of the dozen or so players drafted after Dano, who would you rather have? Maybe Bigras? I don't think you have any clue as to how good it is to get a player like Dano at #27, even though his career still has some question marks. And the fact that we got Saad for him (the number 3 ranked player from TSN's 2011 re-draft) is a giant win! Yes the word "great" is definitely needed here. Anytime a #27 can help turn into a #3, that is GREAT!
And lay off the whole luck with Bjorkstrand thing. I'm not saying it didn't involve some luck - but you had to be smarter than 29 GMs to make it happen, and Jarmo was. That's not nothing. And with Jarmo's list it was quite likely he had Bjorkstrand much much higher, quite possibly top 30. There was no failure of scouting. Maybe in the sense that the future was unknown (duh!) - but they had him higher than the other teams and that's a huge huge win for the franchise.
Off topic (apologies) but as great as everyone is saying that '13 Draft was, what about how the '14 Draft is shaping up?. People are split on Milano - is he boom or is he bust? Collins is struggling at Minnesota. Elvis, while perhaps a diamond in the rough, won't be in North America until 2019 at the earliest. Is Siebenaler going to be much more than a career AHLer? Pelletier and Leblanc never signed. What is the expectation for Bird?
It's also possible that he got to the 89th pick in the draft and saw the guy ranked 36th on the Central Scouting list was far and away the highest ranked guy still available and took him. To his credit, Jarmo traded down 6 spots in round 2 and picked up the 3rd round pick that became Bjorkstrand. But there is zero evidence that Jarmo ranked him in the top 30 and a google search of that time frame includes no comments about it.
I don't like this draft. I have no problem with Elvis taking his time - if you don't like it then don't draft goalies. But he's the only pick that still holds promise.
2014 as a whole does not look like an impressive draft year.
Yep. Pains me because I wanted Sanheim so badly.My method for evaluating a GM's draft is simply some variant of looking at the players picked right after his picks, and compare. Jarmo usually does well in that, but definitely not in 2014. There were some good picks immediately after Milano (Sanheim), and Collins (Aube-Kubel), and the third rounders (Sorokin). It doesn't help that the Flyers had an amazing draft and picked one spot after.
I bet that was a big reason to why we traded him.