If you look at Pronman’s mid-season prospects rankings the non-1st rounders in the top 50, with his tier groupings, are:
*High End Tier*
7) Kaliyev (OHL) (2019 33rd)
9) Kaprizov (KHL) (2015 135th)
11) Robertson (OHL) (2019 53rd)
*High End/Very Good Bubble Tier*
13) Marchenko (KHL) (2018 49th)
18) Romanov (KHL) (2018 38th)
*Very Good Tier*
24) Formenton (AHL) (2017 47th)
28) Elvenes (AHL) (2017 127th)
30) Hoglander (SHL) (2019 40th)
37) Studnicka (AHL) (2017 53rd)
40) Madden (NCAA) (2018 68th)
43) Barre-Boulet (Undrafted)
44) Blichfeld (AHL) (2016 210th)
45) Clague (AHL) (2016 51st)
50) Jenik (OHL) (2018 65th)
That’s 14 non-1st rounders out of the top 50, and 8 of those 14 are from the 2nd round.
The list goes to 72 and out of the those 22 players there are 3 1st rounders, 12 2nd rounders and 7 lower rounds/undrafted.
[Note: his definition of a Very Good NHL prospect: “Projects as a top-six forward, top-four defenseman or starting goaltender in the NHL.“]
Out of his whole list, 39/72 are from the 1st round, 20/72 are from the 2nd round and 13/72 are from later rounds or were undrafted.
It’s clearly difficult to get a top prospect from somewhere outside of the first two rounds, so much so that Shero could be criticized for flipping so many 2nds for trades. However, outside of the 2016 top pick bummers it’s a little unfair to complain about how Castron’s team haven’t identified that many high end prospects.