Value of: BUF 1st overall pick to OTT for Karlsson (sign and trade)

txw

Registered User
Feb 2, 2018
42
26
Trading a generational D man for a potential one sounds crazy, and it is. This all hinges on a scenario in which Karlsson doesn't seem like he will sign in Ottawa. Dorion's biggest job this summer is going to be reading the situation and making sure they get full value if they end up losing EK. If they hold out till after the draft they could be losing a year and a lot of value of a rebuild.

To Buffalo:
Erik Karlsson (signed to 8 year deal)

To Ottawa:
2018 1st overall pick (Dahlin)
Conditional 2019 2nd (becomes 1st if BUF makes playoffs)
G Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
C Rasmus Asplund

Ottawa and Karlsson get a fresh start in this scenario. Buffalo can start to try and compete with a proven superstar. Ottawa starts the rebuild right with pick #1 and #4 in the draft, along with getting potentially another 1st down the road, as they will lose one next year or this year to Colorado. Luukkonen and Asplund will be solid additional building blocks in OTT.

You can never replace Karlsson, so you might as well get the next best thing.
 

Zip15

Registered User
Jun 3, 2009
28,121
5,401
Bodymore
This trade assumes that Karlsson would be willing to go to Buffalo. But if he was willing, why would he want to materially weaken the team he's about to join for the next 8 seasons? Why not ride out this season, get traded at the deadline to wherever Ottawa trades him, and then join Dahlin in Buffalo next season? (Of course, Karlsson isn't going to Buffalo, but I'm not the one who made the assumption he'd be willing to go there.)

Regardless, Buffalo says no.
 

CatsforReinhart

Registered User
Jul 27, 2014
7,315
1,623
Frankfurt
Trading a generational D man for a potential one sounds crazy, and it is. This all hinges on a scenario in which Karlsson doesn't seem like he will sign in Ottawa. Dorion's biggest job this summer is going to be reading the situation and making sure they get full value if they end up losing EK. If they hold out till after the draft they could be losing a year and a lot of value of a rebuild.

To Buffalo:
Erik Karlsson (signed to 8 year deal)

To Ottawa:
2018 1st overall pick (Dahlin)
Conditional 2019 2nd (becomes 1st if BUF makes playoffs)
G Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
C Rasmus Asplund

Ottawa and Karlsson get a fresh start in this scenario. Buffalo can start to try and compete with a proven superstar. Ottawa starts the rebuild right with pick #1 and #4 in the draft, along with getting potentially another 1st down the road, as they will lose one next year or this year to Colorado. Luukkonen and Asplund will be solid additional building blocks in OTT.

You can never replace Karlsson, so you might as well get the next best thing.
LOL, it should be Karlsson + 3 1sts.
 

Zip15

Registered User
Jun 3, 2009
28,121
5,401
Bodymore
there you have it folks, Dahlin is the 2nd most valuable asset in the NHL and he hasn't even played a single NHL game.

Given the player's ceiling, and that he's likely to be under team control for 10-11 years - the first three of which will be far below what he actually contributes - I'd be hard-pressed to come up with more than a handful of players that their team would not trade in a one-for-one deal for #1 overall in this draft.
 

TGWL

HFBoards Sponsor
Sponsor
Jul 28, 2011
15,175
9,970
there you have it folks, Dahlin is the 2nd most valuable asset in the NHL and he hasn't even played a single NHL game.
Well, they already have their franchise center, or one that's supposed to be their franchise center. So, who should they be trading this #1OV for? Matthews? Doesn't really make sense. Crosby? Older and makes even less sense. So while there might be players worth trading the #1OV, it's a pretty small list.
 
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BlueBaron

Registered User
May 29, 2006
15,674
6,308
Sarnia, On
Some Ottawa fans still have not yet grasped they are not in control of this situation and are not picking Karlsson's destination. Buffalo seems like an unusual choice for a guy his age with no cup.

If Buffalo was going to trade Dahlin (which they wouldn't) the only thing that would make sense would be a youth package like Provorov+Patrick+.
 
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