Why do Benning arguments evolve to anything about drafting? There is a 20yr history that basically outlines he's pretty much average and prone to targetting spot fillers vs BPA which is exactly how you pass up a franchise level LW like Tkachuk.
At the end of the day a guy that evaluates Gudbranson Clendening Pedan Vey Beagle Schaller Sbisa Lucic Eriksson etc and is willing to spend insane amounts of resources to secure these players is not a person fit to make astute deals to fill his roster when it comes time to contend. The fact is with Benning we are looking at a Gm that will do exactly the opposite and bleed the opportunity to contend that may be afforded almost entirely due to ineptitude in results and trade away another McCann (maybe Virtanen or Demko next time) throw in draft picks and miss a great young prospect and aquire trash that another team smartly moves away from.
Benning is a mark. Agents and GMs are wise to this. Why would any smart owner that cares about winning a cup want someone so prone to mistakes and losing deals?
All thsi circle jerk about the Sedins and results and crappy depth is honestly just a waste of time. Benning should have known that untill he gets enough top level players (a great young core) that it would all be meaningless and what did he do about it? He pissed away almost 2 drafts worth of picks and whiffed on a few young stud players (Tkachuk McCann and Theodore) and here we are still searching for 3-5 really good pieces so we can turn a corner instead of being on the cusp of something exciting.
5 yrs and he was given Horvat Markstrom Edler Tanev and Hutton....plus Kesler Hamhuis Hansen Burrows to make this team good again
Pettersson Boeser and Hughes is not some great badge of accomplishment. Stecher Pearson Leivo Baertschi are decet players but lets be honest with ourselves. Outside of Stecher all those guys were expendable by good teams that evaluated their rosters and decided they had better options in the roles they employ.
At this point any argument for Benning staying on has be based upon a belief that he would miraculously become something he is not. Nobody realistic would expect him (or their desired GM) to be perfect and not make some mistakes but the scariest thing of all when it comes to a GM is having one that watches hockey and comes away with poor conclusions. One that cannot project 3-5yrs down the road and one that cannot navigate through the Collective and Salary cap to ensure he doesn't lose assets or opportunities.
I dont post much, but i do drop in and read the topics quite a bit. Just would like to say that you are my favorite poster in here because you have well thought out posts and are not afraid to call out anyone. The post above is an example of this. It really makes me re-consider some of my positions.
Generally speaking I have given Benning a lot of rope because of the state of the team in terms of the number of young impact players that were in the org when he took over. I think it would have taken at least 4-5 years to turn this ship around no matter who was at the helm.
That said, he has made 3 big mistakes in my mind:
1. Eriksson - I attribute this to trying to milk the Gillis era core for one or possibly more runs. I think the owner did not want to rebuild, he had just handed the Sedins 14 million, and Loui was an attempt to bolster (patch) the old guard.
2. Gudbranson - I attribute this acquisition to a knee jerk reaction he had to the Calgary series where our flaccid D core was humiliated by the Calgary forecheck (especially Ferland). The fans were embarrassed, the team was embarrassed and Im sure management was embarrassed by being mauled in that fashion. Right or wrong, they probably thought a future d with both Tryamkin and Gudbranson would really protect the team from that sort of dismantling.
3. Juolevi over Tkachuk - this one has been beaten to death. I can see why he did it, it looks really bad now and its getting worse.
I see the vast majority of the rest of his moves as low cost moves in terms of assets and UFA money. When I say low cost I mean what are the chances that Pedan plus a 4th has a higher impact than Pouliot? When I say UFA money i mean at this point in the team's trajectory where they can afford to overspend in the UFA market.
Basically I think his moves have allowed the team to follow a natural down cycle and keep it there for while the team's new core is accumulated via the draft. I dont think Del Zotto and Gagner were brought in here to compete for a playoff spot. The filler players and filler contracts have allowed the team to draft high for 5 years - its something this team desperately needed. The fact that they have lost position in the draft lotto has probably hurt them.
By summer time he will have this core:
Horvat, Pettersson, Boeser, Hughes, 2019th first round pick
Plus possible core pieces:
Demko, Woo, Madden, Gaudette,Juolevi (and any other 2019 post first round picks)
(everyone else i see as a long shot)
After this year it will be the first time that it will make sense to go after high impact UFAs . He will have enough young players and prospects that he can trade for at least equivalent players in needed positions. For instance trade Gaudette/Virtanen plus draft picks for a d man etc. If he did this earlier (like giving up what Calgary did for Hamilton or Hamonic) it would not have made sense. I see people complaining about the D all the time. The d does suck, but it costs a lot to build a good d. He could not afford to give up the picks or young pieces.
Basically what im trying to say is now that he actually has a core group of young players I think we are going to see more than filler moves. With good young players he will be able to attract more than just the Beagle/Roussel calibre UFAS.
In my mind the real scrutiny begins now. He will actually have a young core to build around and his objectives should be clearly aligned with the owners objectives. If he makes a series of mistakes in this context he should be shown the door ASAP.