He said he spoke to Mark Hunter and Lou. He's spoken to Babcock in the past, which was because Tony Granato's (Babcock's assistant in Detroit) brother Dom, coached the USNDP cohort Matthews was in, and he would bring Matthews and Matthew Tkachuk to the Joe with him occasionally (USNDP is based in Ann-Arbour). So they have met way before anything to do with the Leafs. Considering Lou and Mark Hunter were there, I wouldn't be surprised if they also talked to Laine.
My feeling is they are 99.9% sure they are going Matthews. Just way too hard to find a franchise center if you don't draft one. Matthews slots everyone into roles they should be successful at, Laine requires the roster be adjusted somewhat and puts more pressure on Nylander or Marner to become an elite-centreman. Its much easier to find a winger to compliment a Matthews-Marner line, than it is to find a center for a Laine-xxxxx-Marner line. Not saying Nylander can't do it, but I personally see his best role as leading a 2nd unit that is used in mostly offensive situations, similar to how the Sedin line was used when Kesler anchored the 2nd unit or how the Kane-Panarin line is used right now.
I don't want to make this into a Leafs draft thread. But I would be remiss to not mention The Leafs are heavy on European Scouting. The Director is Ari Vuori. Supported by long tine scout Bergman and Ladygin + others. From reliable sources Laine is preferred by majority of Euro scouts.
If this was an older regime, I could agree Leafs are picking Matthews as you say 99.99% leaving that small out incase they do pick Laine.
But as I mentioned, since Shanahan has took over. This is an organization that has prided themselves of not conventional thinking. They want to outsmart other NHL organizations by evaluations that go beyond the norm.
Now saying this, I would be absolutely not surprised if they pick Matthews. This is the predictable thing to do. But this Management team under Shanahan is anything but predictable.
They are strong on European scouts, they have shown an affinity of signing Euros, and Hunter is a guy big on skill and scoring. It may be 51-49 for me. As opposed to your 99.99% leaving a slight out Leafs pick Laine. I am not so sure. All I know is both are great prospects and it can go either way. This would not surprise me.