You seem to have entirely ignored my above comment and instead are tilting at windmills. Let me reiterate: You absolutely can make a legitimate statement that Matthews is a lock to produce 50 goals over an 82 game season where he is healthy because he already has scored 50 goals over 82 game segments, multiple times. In fact for his career he is nearly that pace. What I am saying is that he is a lock to continue to do what he has already done over the last couple years, if he stays healthy. Unless you are somehow approaching this discussion from a biased perspective, this should be pretty clear and non controversial. The more ambitious claim made by others that he is a lock to score 60 is definitely much more tenuous because we have never seen him score at that pace before this season, which was indeed shortened. Which is why I would disagree with that comment. But we have seen Matthews but up 50 goals over 82 game segments for years now so it is pretty reasonable to expect that he will continue to do so as he is in his prime.