Definitely agree on the Sharks. Pens and Caps are probably not really contenders right now, but I also don't see their window as having closed yet.
The Sharks will probably still make the playoffs, but they don't scream contender to me this year. Goaltending was a joke last year, Vlasic is a trash defenseman (at this point) that plays too many of their minutes. Hopefully having Karlsson locked down long term helps kick him back and I do LOVE that they traded Braun, who has no use anymore.
They shouldn't have BOTH Thornton and Marleau on the roster next year. Pick one or the other. One is fine, but two is overkill.
I think they're still a playoff team, but maybe not if Jones has another poor year. I think Jones might be better than he was last year but at the end of the day, he's just a mediocre to average NHL goaltender.