It's not as simple as that. Guys come back with higher ppgs after lock outs and getting som much needed rest. That has been the case after every lock out. It exploded in 95-96 and also after the 04 one (definately partly due to rule changes, and let's not pretend those rule changes didn't boost Ovie's gpg.)
Ovie had two full seasons in a row with 32 and 38 goals before the last lock out, which then completely rejuvenated him, and to extrapolate his career gpg on a rookie season that would have been when he was 19 doesn't work either.