That's too bad about Tampa Bay. I assumed that was going to be his landing spot because they have $11.2MM in D cap coming off the books in 3 players (Stralman, Coburn & Girardi) and 2 of them are RHD. I felt like there was a fit there for them to lock him up long term. I haven't looked deeper into their cap situation than that. They have Point as an RFA that could be expensive but Dotchin or Koekkoek can't be in line for monster raises. Callahan's $5.8 comes off the books the same time they need to extend Vasilevsky. If they're trading us Sergachev or Foote that's someone they don't need to pay. Oh well. I think I could make that work but if they say they can't then whatever. Stevie Y bridged Kucherov and his new salary is likely what causes the cap crunch. Maybe instead of a D we take back Miller to play 2c and suddenly they can afford him. Point is, if you want Trouba there are hypothetical other deals we could make so you'd have to come with a half way decent offer or we should just ride it out into free agency and he becomes a cap casualty.
Yeah, I did the same kind of 'other team's fan' analysis. I can't even recall all the details but every way I tried around it there was another roadblock.
IIRC, I think they were going to retain Stralman but they wouldn't need him if they got Trouba. Then there are Gourde, Point, Sergachev and Vasilevski. Add 4 for Gourde, 6 for Point, at least 5 for Sergachev and 4 for Vasilevski = 19. They have 2.5 now. They will recover 5.8 from Callahan, 3.7 from Coburn, 3 from Girardi, 4.5 from Stralman and 1.8 when Carle comes of the books = 21.3. Minus the 19 for those raises leaves just 2.3 to sign Trouba or Stralman plus replace Cally, Coburn & Girardi. Those 4 getting raises could get 2-3 mil more than that 19, and figure an avg of about 750k for each replacement. Not enough even allowing for moderate cap increases. They don't even have enough to keep Stralman.
I tried looking at ways to take cap back but couldn't make it work. I finally surrendered.
That doesn't completely eliminate the possibility. When teams can get a good player they seem to be able to find ways to make it work. But it is clear that it won't be easy. TBL have their cap problem to solve with or without Trouba. Who knows what Yzerman might do?