Didn't realize every player was held to a 2-3 yr development timeframe. Players obviously never have faster or shorter paths.
If you see a 16yo 2023 draft eligible center who is skating/play-making at same level as Cooley as a 16yo, would you not consider them to be relative equals as peers, even though one is a year older? Now let's say that same player is currently #12 on the list for 2023 draft prospects. Would it not be wise to apply the scouting knowledge and say that if this player stays even with Cooley in development and moves up to 8th best skater in 2023, then picks 1-7 in 2023 are at or ahead of Cooley in talent level?
I plan on AZ being a top 6 pick in 2023. So, I expect to get a forward who is better than Cooley next year, even if we still take Cooley this year, based on what I know of the 2023 eligible. Or, what if a number of our scouts looked at Cooley and think that his game is developed, but there isn't much room for more. In other words, he is close to peaking, but others still have a lot higher peaks? Thats part of the 2-3 yr development as well. None of these are finished projects and the player taken at 8 could be the best player at end of career.
That's where I keep saying, the scouts are preparing for the 2022 draft, but that doesn't mean that it is in a vacuum and nothing for 2023/futures/other prospect's futures matters. Otherwise, no trades would ever happen, as we wouldn't trade #27 because we have to take on a player that we have to project for use in 2023 and beyond, right? But we can only make projections on the 2022 eligibles right?
People are acting as if though I am stating that the only logic for a 2022 pick is what we think may happen in 2023. It is not a big percentage, but if a scouting group is completely even on 2 players at #3 and one scout says - I recommend picking player A because both players A and B are equals, but the position that player B plays has more and deeper talent next year and the position player A plays has less talent, that could sway the group to player A. It is simply something to take into consideration.