The question with Edvinsson is not whether he will score 60 -- that's just patently unrealistic. The question is if he will score 35-40. He has never been a big scorer at any level. He lacks a big shot or elite passing ability. Where are the points going to come from? If the Devils drafted him, it would be difficult to envision him ever making the Devils 1PP -- he's just not close to as good with the puck as Ty Smith and he lacks a shot as good as Reilly Walsh, much less a bomb like Shakir Mukhamadullin.
I do think Edvinsson can score more than an Okhotyuk or Bahl, and I think the defensive play of Edvinsson can be as good as these two. But is that what you use a #6 overall pick on? Even if the Big 3 D are gone, is that what the Devils need more than a top line, two-way, high-skill, high-IQ, high-compete forward like Eklund or Guenther?
Again (again again), Simon Edvinsson is an excellent hockey prospect. But is he a pick for the top 6 or 7 overall? Last year, there was a defensive-oriented defenseman who belonged in that conversation in Jake Sanderson. But Sanderson was far more defensively polished, a faster skater, and had superior offensive acumen which resulted in higher historical offensive production. With Sanderson, the question was do you take an air-tight, shut down defensive defenseman who is likely only going to be a 40+ point guy in the top 7? But some of the same people who said no to Sanderson last year are mysteriously doing an about-face with a defensive-defenseman who is less adept in his own zone and had modest totals of 1 goal, 11 assists and 12 points in 38 games across three Swedish leagues. Is it because he's three inches taller? I don't know what the answer is.
It's a grating subject for me to consistently have to say why I would not draft a certain player at a certain position, especially a player like Edvinsson whom I feel will be a very good NHL player. But a top 6 or 7 pick? That's all projection. He still needs work on his defensive game, and has yet to dominate offensively at any significant level.
Thats fair. I stated it in my other post that I have Edvinsson as a clear #4 for the top-4 dmen. So the argument to not draft him at six or higher is one I agree with, personally.
But when considering our choices I take the viewpoint of the GM and team; and I find it hard to believe they wouldnt take Edvinsson if the other three are gone before us.
So, stylistically, I think hes a great fit at his ceiling for a contending team with a ton of offense up front and Ty Smith who could average 50+. Id prefer that type of player over a higher scoring, less defensively strong player.
I guess its hard to parallel the two since Edvinsson's potential ceiling is lower than the other three (unless he improves his offense, which is what Im guessing scouts bank on when he gets into the NA game), and Im advocating for his ceiling playstyle over Hughes and Clarke. But Id never take Edvinsson over Hughes, who I think has the highest ceiling in the draft. Or Clarke who has possibly top-3 potential as well.
But if its out of my hands and Im rating styles of players I think we need, and what I prefer; Id like the big dman who skates well and is strong in his own end and transition. That I will stick with since its excluding their actual prospect writeups for what they can be, which requires a bit of imagination I suppose.
My true draft ranking is Hughes Power Clarke Edvinsson, but if were getting any of the four and they 100% hit their ceilings and correct all the 'what-ifs', I want Edvinsson second to Power and ahead of Hughes and Clarke. Strictly an on-paper, looking at matchups, readying for playoffs move based on fit and style.
And that pains me to say as I want the Hughes brother dynamic for the fun and growth of the team. And since I think he can be Erik Karlsson-esque in how he affects the game (just less offense and more defense), if he develops as his brothers have and are before him. I dont have many defenseman in recent years as better skaters than him, including Rasmus.
After writing this I feel like I sound stupid and just made absolutely no sense lmfao; but Ill leave it to see if it makes any sense to you or anyone else, if not for anything else but a good laugh