Quick question what do you think the Sharks would get for Burns in a trade? If you don't understand why Simek has higher trade value then the whole conversation is pointless. What does provide for the future of the franchise? His numbers are falling off a cliff.
During his peak with the Sharks Burns Corsi was reached a high of 61.7% and was usually in the upper fifties. This year it is currently 46.8 % which is the lowest of his career. His Corsi Rel during his prime peaked at 11.3% and was 8+% during his prime. He's now a -0.9% in Corsi Rel.
His Fenwick peaked at 61.9% and was in the middle to upper fifties during his prime, an he's now 46.5% a with a negative Fenwick Rel of 1.9 (also happens to be the first time in his career).
All of his scoring numbers are down to the levels during his first year as a Shark. His shots are way down. His C/60 peaked at 29.3 and was often in the high teens/low twenties during his prime and he's currently a negative 7.2. Same with his F/60 which is also negative for the first time in his career.
He and Simek have similar per 60 stat stats save for goal rate shot attempts.
So, explain to me how a player who is clearly falling off a cliff and has similar stats while being paid nearly 4x as much more valuable than an asset that has a shorter term and whose value isn't deteriorating with anywhere near the same velocity?
The Sharks would have to take on bad money or give pick(s)/prospects to get rid of Burns. The Sharks might be able to wrangle a late round pick for Simek and could easily expose him in expansion.
[Mod edit] The facts remain the Sharks have one of the worst prospect pools in the NHL and they are nailed to the wall with hjgh-dollar value contracts of which only Kane and Couture are living up to...
24 out of 31 here https://thehockeywriters.com/nhl-farm-system-rankings/
26 out of 31 here https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2911430-nhl-farm-system-rankings-which-team-has-the-best-group-of-prospects
78% of the salary cap max is being spent on big contracts (Couture, Kane, Meier, Hertl, Labanc, Karlsson, Burns, Vlasic, Jones) and Meier's contract, which puts the Sharks on the hook for a 10 million dollar cap hit for an additional year if they elect to make a QO.
So, knowing all of this what are you going to pay Hertl in 2022-2023 and for what term? -7-8+ million for 7-8 years? What about Ferraro when his he needs a new contract as well in 2022-2023, or what about Donato at the end of this year? Balcers? Gambrell?
There's nothing sensational about what I've put to paper. It's all factual data with reasonable analysis. I'm sorry that it's upsetting that the Sharks are currently a giant disaster from a player personnel perspective, but burying your head in the sand isn't going make it any better.
While Doug Wilson did an admiral job of keeping this franchise competitive for a long period, his ego royally f***ed this franchise and the bill is coming due.
[Mod edit] I don't care how people view prospect pools. It's irrelevant on the whole because they're guessing and building a team is more than just your prospect pool. There's nothing reasonable about saying they are 5+ years away from competing based on a very limited set of data. [Mod edit]
Last edited by a moderator: