2021 Draft Position Tracker

[ricky0034]

How low we can go in this draft , from 1 to ?

8

there's two lottery drawings now(as opposed to 3 in previous years) so if the Wings win one of them they can pick 1st or 2nd

if not it depends on which teams win them, if Buffalo/Anaheim/Seattle/New Jersey/Columbus win both of them the Wings pick 6th

if some team other than those wins one of them the Wings pick 7th

if some team other than those wins both of them the Wings pick 8th

the Wings can't pick 3rd/4th/5th or lower than 8th

 

[saska sault]

This is our year, we didn't full on tank.... Let the kids play and still won too many games. If there is such a thing as karma or whatever you want to label it. We should win the lottery.

I will prepare to pick 8th.

 

[deca guard]

 

[Pavels Dog]

This is our year, we didn't full on tank.... Let the kids play and still won too many games. If there is such a thing as karma or whatever you want to label it. We should win the lottery.

I will prepare to pick 8th.

Everyone wanted Vancouver to win so they would pass us in the standings.
I'd say it's almost 100% guaranteed that the Nucks will win the lottery.

 

[deca guard]

 

[ShanahanMan]

Looking at it on positive side, we have a higher chance to draft 1st 2nd or 6th than we do 7th or 8th .

 

[Leadzedder]

Looking at it on positive side, we have a higher chance to draft 1st 2nd or 6th than we do 7th or 8th .

Hope you kept your receipt for your calculator.

 

[ShanahanMan]

Hope you kept your receipt for your calculator.

Yeah math skills weren't on point there.

Should say we have a better combined chance of getting 1st, 2nd, or 6th vs 7th.

 

[Leadzedder]

Yeah math skills weren't on point there.

Should say we have a better combined chance of getting 1st, 2nd, or 6th vs 7th.

Yeah. Fair. All matters how you look at it. Anything but 6 or 7 would be a surprise.

Someone’s gotta win though. May as well start the streak this year.

 

[lilidk]

Looking at it on positive side, we have a higher chance to draft 1st 2nd or 6th than we do 7th or 8th .

Even more positive, not much difference between 1 and 8

 

[deca guard]

wondering why we cant get 4th or 5th ?

 

[Ulysses31]

wondering why we cant get 4th or 5th ?

Drw can win lottery for 2nd or 1st. If they dont they fall is order of the worst record after lottery winning teams.

 

[ricky0034]

wondering why we cant get 4th or 5th ?

because the Wings finished 6th and the only way to go up from where you finished is by winning a lottery spot(which are only the 1st and 2nd picks)

 

[TheMule93]

cant believe we all just watched those 56 games of detroit red wings "hockey" for a 7th overall pick

 

[jkutswings]

cant believe we all just watched those 56 games of detroit red wings "hockey" for a 7th overall pick

I've skipped the games for several years now. Keeping it to just the discussions here has saved me both stress and money.

 

[ArmChairGM89]

Seems to be a pretty clear top 7 this year. Please don’t fall to 8th.

 

[Hen Kolland]

Seems to be a pretty clear top 7 this year. Please don’t fall to 8th.

There's nothing clear about this draft at all. Don't subscribe to the doomsday scenario.

 

[OgeeOgelthorpe]

Seems to be a pretty clear top 7 this year. Please don’t fall to 8th.

It's all doom and gloom. Every player in this draft is a Nail Yakupov, Al Montoya or Oli Juolevi. Don't prescribe to the Hen Kolland scenario.

 

[SirloinUB]

Yeah. Fair. All matters how you look at it. Anything but 6 or 7 would be a surprise.

Someone’s gotta win though. May as well start the streak this year.

one other outlook is there is basically a 50-50 chance we draft 1st/2nd/6th vs 7th/8th.

If you’re a glass is half full kind of person that’s decent odds.

 

[Ricelund]

cant believe we all just watched those 56 games of detroit red wings "hockey" for a 7th overall pick

We got Seider at #6. This isn't a top-heavy draft anyway. The Wings will end up with a great prospect.

 

[Frk It]

Seems to be a pretty clear top 7 this year. Please don’t fall to 8th.

I thought the 2019 draft played out as poor as possible, with Dach, Bryam, and Turcotte going right before us.

I think we ended up doing just fine.

I also think it’s unlikely whatever top 7 you think there is goes exactly in the top 7. There are always 1-2 “reaches”.

 

[Unfriendly Ghost]

one other outlook is there is basically a 50-50 chance we draft 1st/2nd/6th vs 7th/8th.

If you’re a glass is half full kind of person that’s decent odds.

Plus, the chance of drafting 8th is quite small. It's something like 8%.

 

[OgeeOgelthorpe]

I thought the 2019 draft played out as poor as possible, with Dach, Bryam, and Turcotte going right before us.

I think we ended up doing just fine.

I also think it’s unlikely whatever top 7 you think there is goes exactly in the top 7. There are always 1-2 “reaches”.

Exactly.

I'm also not convinced that the in-game impact most of these kids have will differ greatly from one another if/when they hit their prime except in some of the best case scenarios. The top 10 all look to be solid NHL contributors but I can only think of 3 that end up top 20 in their positions. (At the moment)

Guenther/Eklund/Johnson look like top 6 wingers with different styles but probably comparable production.
Power/Hughes/Clarke look like top 4 D with different styles but probably have comparable production. I think eventually Clarke outproduces the others on a long enough timeframe.
Edvinsson looks like a total wild card. I'm not a fan of project picks in the top 10 of a draft and holy shit is he a project. I only feel slightly better about taking him knowing that Nik Kronwall will work with him.
Wallstedt looks like a future starting goalie but could end up as a franchise cornerstone starter much like Askarov(TBD)/Price/Vasilevsky and goalies of that ilk.
Beniers may produce immediately or he may end up taking a season or two to figure out the offensive consistency part. But all the tools are there to be a 2 way center. Only his production will dictate whether he's 1st or 2nd line.

 

[OgeeOgelthorpe]

Plus, the chance of drafting 8th is quite small. It's something like 8%.

 

[Rzombo4 prez]

Exactly.

I'm also not convinced that the in-game impact most of these kids have will differ greatly from one another if/when they hit their prime except in some of the best case scenarios. The top 10 all look to be solid NHL contributors but I can only think of 3 that end up top 20 in their positions. (At the moment)

Guenther/Eklund/Johnson look like top 6 wingers with different styles but probably comparable production.
Power/Hughes/Clarke look like top 4 D with different styles but probably have comparable production. I think eventually Clarke outproduces the others on a long enough timeframe.
Edvinsson looks like a total wild card. I'm not a fan of project picks in the top 10 of a draft and holy shit is he a project. I only feel slightly better about taking him knowing that Nik Kronwall will work with him.
Wallstedt looks like a future starting goalie but could end up as a franchise cornerstone starter much like Askarov(TBD)/Price/Vasilevsky and goalies of that ilk.
Beniers may produce immediately or he may end up taking a season or two to figure out the offensive consistency part. But all the tools are there to be a 2 way center. Only his production will dictate whether he's 1st or 2nd line.

As people have been saying all year: lots of good, but not a lot of elite in this class.