darko
Registered User
- Feb 16, 2009
- 70,269
- 7,797
They are 2-3 years from contending. Just in time for Syndergaard and DeGrom to become free agents.
Possibly, but if you trade them, you're looking at a lot longer from contending.
It's not happening this year, sorry.
From what I've seen the Nats' ownership intervened and stopped management from acting as a seller at the deadline. Selling off known commodities at the deadline would be pretty devastating for the public image of the franchise in the area...but being 3rd in the NL East for the foreseeable future would have a similar effect.
Nats just don't have the balls to accept their gambit has failed and are instead hoping for an against the odds miracle run.
Even if they squeak into the playoffs, they arne't going to beat the Cubs or Dodgers. Making the playoffs as the endgame for this team is kinda funny
Nats shouldn't sell off for a total rebuild, but it makes sense to get rid of free agents to be and guys who are under-performing and unlikely to get better.
Their odds of making the playoffs are fairly slim at this point. 85 wins tends to be the absolute baseline for making the WC, but quite often it's more like 87-89 and sometimes more like 92. For them to get 85 they need to go 33-24 the rest of the way, for them to get to 89 they need to go a fantastic but not unheard of 37-20. But anything more would require a historic run.
However, our instinct that tells us it's possible..is based on our preseason views about the Nats and not what we've seen this season. Little about their level of play this year indicates that they're capable of even going significantly above .500.
Fivethirtyeight (i.e. Nate Silver, who I think is better at baseball than at politics) predict the Nats to get a final record of 82-80. Sure, we can tell ourselves that they could flip another 5-7 wins but that's a lot of ground in 57 games.
Nats shouldn't sell off for a total rebuild, but it makes sense to get rid of free agents to be and guys who are under-performing and unlikely to get better.
Their odds of making the playoffs are fairly slim at this point. 85 wins tends to be the absolute baseline for making the WC, but quite often it's more like 87-89 and sometimes more like 92. For them to get 85 they need to go 33-24 the rest of the way, for them to get to 89 they need to go a fantastic but not unheard of 37-20. But anything more would require a historic run.
However, our instinct that tells us it's possible..is based on our preseason views about the Nats and not what we've seen this season. Little about their level of play this year indicates that they're capable of even going significantly above .500.
Fivethirtyeight (i.e. Nate Silver, who I think is better at baseball than at politics) predict the Nats to get a final record of 82-80. Sure, we can tell ourselves that they could flip another 5-7 wins but that's a lot of ground in 57 games.