Somebody on the main boards just told me that Rittich is great on breakaways and stops 9 out of 10 of them. Then told me I don’t know what I’m talking about.
I'm not sure what his breakaway save percentage is (I doubt it's that good). In fact, I'm not even sure what a good breakaway save percentage is in-game. It's something like 33% is the average success rate in the shootout, so I'm assuming .670% is the average goalie save percentage in shootouts, but here's the thing.
In the shootout, it gets counted as a save for the goalie if the shooter misses the net or hits the post. Even if the goalie doesn't come into contact with it. That's not the case in-games. So it may be a bit lower than that. Like 60% or something.
Of course, the only thing I have to prove that Rittich isn't good is my eye test, as his save percentage says he's above average, at least for this year.
But I was calling the regression in his save percentage as early as November and it never came until recently, but it finally did. He was in the ,920%'s and higher for a lot of this season. Koskinen was way up there too and I was calling for his inflated save percentage (PDO, so to speak) to decrease. And then his save percentage finally started dropping, but at the same time, the goals I was counting stoppable weren't really going up any higher than they had been. They were just at an alarmingly high rate before that, when his save percentage was still really good. I wouldn't nail Rittich on any of these goals tonight. The market correction is in effect. If I had to guess, Rittich looks more like a .905% goalie to me. I'm not saying he's looked terrible or even one of the worst in the league, but he's looked mediocre/below average.
I'm assuming this was a Flames fan and I've found with every fanbase, a lot of people don't think their goalie is as bad as he is on paper or as bad as he looks to other people that aren't fans of the team he's on. I've noticed the same with Jones here, I've noticed the same with the Devils fans regarding Kinkaid and even Schneider. I argued that out of the 31 teams in the NHL, I wouldn't rank anybody's starter on the other 30 behind Keith Kinkaid. There might be a few guys tied with him, who are also de facto starters due to injury/tanking purposes, but when you got a goalie that isn't better than at least one goalie on 28-29 teams, you're gonna allow a lot of goals. And my eye test tells me Kinkaid blew this year. Definitely wasn't as bad as Mike Smith.