The Mighty Duck Man
R-E-L-A-X
So I actually took the time to look it up, and my argument was actually not for Kesler. It was for Phaneuf. But a lot of the underlying issues remain the same. And in fact this could also apply to Bieksa, who is 2 years older. The point was that physical guys from that draft are slowing down, meaning that other guys from that age group are probably approaching their best buy dates soon too. And you were one of the most vehemently anti cases then too. In fact I feel like you are very generally against ever using comparables.
To use only Richards would not be a strong case. That is true. But the case was bigger than that. a) Multiple guys from that draft are slowing down, with some looking like they are completely done b) The historical trend of all players is that this is the norm c) It feels like this downward trend is even more pronounced for physical players like these and d) It also feels like this trend is more of an issue for players whose main strengths were physical tools.
I'll make an visualization. Normally you expect a population (of pretty much anything) to be a normal bell-type curve. We are already seeing the far edge of people who are declining from that draft cohort. We don't know how far away the tail ends are from the main body of the population, but more likely than not the main body is coming.
I'm not even disagreeing with that, just saying that Richards is an awful example in any context. You led off with him and he's the only guy you even mentioned, it's terribly misleading.
Understanding why Richards went downhill fast actually gives me optimism for Kesler. It wasn't so much his playing style as him not taking care of himself. Kesler's the exact opposite, he appears to take very good care of himself. He's a lot closer to Rod Brind'Amour than he is Mike Richards.