After some "scouting", Cooper has used Palat-Johnson-Kucherov line against other teams top line throughout the season. It takes second most offensive zone faceoffs. Killorn - Stamkos - Sallahan takes most offensive zone faceoffs.
My god I like this matchup.
So, if it goes that way, Babcock is gonna use helm-Dats-Zetts and Miller-Glendy-Ferraro in defensive zone faceoffs against those Tampa's offensive zone lines.
I really think, Palat-Johnson-Kucherov will be shut down totally by Datsyuk and Zetterberg.
And, Luke Glendening has shut down Crosby twice at this season, so why not Stammer?
Again, I really, really like these matchups.
how about our offensive zone lines against Tampa's defensive zone lines?
Tatar - Sheahan - Nyquist will face Namestnikov - Filppula - Paquette. This matchup will decide the series. And I really feel our guys in this matchup are more dangerous to score.
Morrow - Boyle - Drouin will face Weiss - Andersson - Jurco, Drouin could do some damage but I believe these lines will play zero-zero against each other.
Defences are quite equal (both defences have scored 25 goals, are -120 vs. -124 in giweaways/takeaways plus/minus, and have 242 vs. 250 games of playoff experience. Very equal.
And Bishop-Mrazek? Both have zero games playoff experience. hard to find any differencies in here.
But those offensive matchups... we really have good chance to make a huge 1st round upset.
Tampa's game lives for keeping the puck. 1st of all, we are better faceoff team (51.5% vs. 49.7%). We have bigger probability to keep and control the puck after a faceoff. We have more total takeaways and better giweaways/takeaways ratio (+29 vs. +14) at forward corps, so if Tampa has the puck, we have a bigger probability to get it back.
IF we can control the puck, Tampa is taken out from their game. If also our defensive zone lines (centered by Dats and Glendening) will shut down Tampa's offense (as those favored matchups should be able to do), we will win the series, if our goaltending even equals the opposite team goaltending. We don't need better goaltending in this series, just equal, but bad goaltending will kill our chances for sure.