THE HOME STRETCH: "DAT WILD CARD" - Our Last 15 Games

[Golden_Jet]

95 points ought to do it. That's a 10- 5-0 record down the stretch. 10-5 is doable, but tough. Basically, we've got five more games to lose. If we lose even a couple early, this thing is going to get away from us really fast.

Currently Boston is on. 98 point pace

And Washington 97.5 pace
We need 1 point more than Boston they have more ROW
If we go 10-5 then Boston must go 7-8

 

[mat_sens]

95 points ought to do it. That's a 10- 5-0 record down the stretch. 10-5 is doable, but tough. Basically, we've got five more games to lose. If we lose even a couple early, this thing is going to get away from us really fast.

Seems like we'll need a bit more than that. As per sports club stats, a 10-5 record gives us about 45% chance to make it. We'd need 2 or 3 of those losses as OT/SO losses.

 

[FunkySeeFunkyDoo]

My philosophy, which I almost certainly will not adhere to, is to not get too stressed about what the other teams are doing and whether our chance of making it is getting better or worse.

Instead, I'm going to just enjoy watching Sens games that mean something.

Proud to be a Sens fan right now.

 

[OgieO]

Currently Boston is on. 98 point pace

And Washington 97.5 pace
We need 1 point more than Boston they have more ROW
If we go 10-5 then Boston must go 7-8

They play each other twice. Wash has a very tough schedule. Boston too - with 4 b2b's and 10 road games out of 15.

One of those two teams will average 1 point per game or less. If its Wash that still means 95 points - and we'll lose the tie breaker so we need 21 points.

10-4-1
9-3-3

Either of those or better gets us in. Either of those is doable.

 

[ColinM]

This was mentioned before in the PGT.. Who are we pulling for in those two head to head games between Boston and Washington?

It seems like Boston is picking up their form and Washington is on the ropes.

Exactly. Based on their track record I think we better cheer for Boston beating Washington tomorrow in regulation. Based on the team's track record I think Washington is more likely to falter.

Here's really hoping tomorrow's Washington/Boston game does not go to overtime.

 

[ColinM]

The odds are still stacked against us but regardless,... I would rather beating on the door to the playoffs instead of sucking the hind teet of the tank squadron.

Exactly. The streak is way more interesting than finding out if we will have 10% chance of a first overall pick rather than a 5% chance.

 

[MusicTeacher]

They play each other twice. Wash has a very tough schedule. Boston too - with 4 b2b's and 10 road games out of 15.

One of those two teams will average 1 point per game or less. If its Wash that still means 95 points - and we'll lose the tie breaker so we need 21 points.

10-4-1
9-3-3

Either of those or better gets us in. Either of those is doable.

So... just keep winning, check!

 

[Pierre from Orleans]

We play the Leafs 3 more times. Hopefully with their struggles this year they don't have our number still.

 

[Six Assets]

we got this

 

[BigBush*]

We play the Leafs 3 more times. Hopefully with their struggles this year they don't have our number still.

Doubtful. They are on a level so bad that it's rare to see in professional sports. They are very much committed to the tank. Those should be an easy 3 games for Ottawa

 

[starling]

If we bump out Washington we will meet PIT/NYR/NYI in the first round.
I would rather DET/MTL/TB
But yeah, either way is fine as long as there are no 3-point games.

 

[dumbdick]

Currently Boston is on. 98 point pace

And Washington 97.5 pace
We need 1 point more than Boston they have more ROW
If we go 10-5 then Boston must go 7-8

A 97 or 98 point cutoff seems too high based on recent history. Not impossible, but I doubt it. For now I'll stick to my 95 benchmark.

 

[StefanW]

A 97 or 98 point cutoff seems too high based on recent history. Not impossible, but I doubt it. For now I'll stick to my 95 benchmark.

I agree with this.

I should point out though that more teams than usual are tanking because of the McDavid thing, which pushes up the points earned by teams actually looking to win.

 

[Alex1234]

Comfy beds... I wouldnt have guessed Jakarta is the mattress capital of the world

MISTRESS capital of the world

not masstress

 

[dumbdick]

I agree with this.

I should point out though that more teams than usual are tanking because of the McDavid thing, which pushes up the points earned by teams actually looking to win.

The extra team in the Eastern Conference isn't helping either.

 

[Rals]

This team is beast, where was this in November

 

[saskriders]

If we bump out Washington we will meet PIT/NYR/NYI in the first round.
I would rather DET/MTL/TB
But yeah, either way is fine as long as there are no 3-point games.

It doesn't matter who you bump out. If we finish 8th we face the division winner with more points regardless of whether Boston or Washington finishes 7th

 

[Rals]

The ice should issue a restraining order on Craig Anderson.

 

[Super Cake]

Who would have even thought we would be in this position. When Lehner went down, everyone here pretty much had us pegged to be a bottom 5 team.

In fact, i was nervous about what was going to happen during the west coast trip.

But look what happened. The hamburglar came in and stole the show.

 

[dumbdick]

Yep, this run has salvaged an otherwise forgettable season. Win or lose, we got something to get excited about next season.

 

[L'Aveuglette]

If we bump out Washington we will meet PIT/NYR/NYI in the first round.
I would rather DET/MTL/TB
But yeah, either way is fine as long as there are no 3-point games.

I feel like if we make the playoffs any matchup will be ok, and any of those teams will be scared ****less to meet us in the first round.

 

[MiscBrah]

It doesn't matter who you bump out. If we finish 8th we face the division winner with more points regardless of whether Boston or Washington finishes 7th

No they changed the rules after the 1st year of the new divisions so that if possible you always stay inside your division.

Ex: If WSH finished 7th and we finish 8th, but NYR finishes 1st in the east and 1st in the metro, MTL finishes 1st in ATL, 2nd in east then we would play MTL and WSH would play NYR.

 

[StoicSensFan]

I feel like if we make the playoffs any matchup will be ok, and any of those teams will be scared ****less to meet us in the first round.

Agreed.

Ending a season on a nice streak with the team in good health means we can carry that positive momentum into the playoffs.

 

[saskriders]

No they changed the rules after the 1st year of the new divisions so that if possible you always stay inside your division.

Ex: If WSH finished 7th and we finish 8th, but NYR finishes 1st in the east and 1st in the metro, MTL finishes 1st in ATL, 2nd in east then we would play MTL and WSH would play NYR.

Source?

I like the change if it is true. I just never saw anything saying it happened.

 

[Karl Eriksson]

Can someone tell me who to cheer for today (other than Sens) ?