Pre-Game Talk: Playoff Preview: Washington Capitals (1st Metro) v Toronto Maple Leafs (2nd WildCard)

[Damisoph]

change of heart, pls delete

 

[saltming]

Zero is a mathematical impossibility

 

[JonnyMacAwesome]

Zero is a mathematical impossibility

Exactly the comment I was hoping would be here.

What a dummy he is.

 

[TheDoldrums]

Anyone who says that has no understanding of probability.

Based on betting markets and most models I've seen, Leafs have about a 25% chance of winning the series. Probably a little lower if Zaitsev is out.

 

[Grabovski]

That's a pretty bold statement to make. We could get lucky and win a couple series and next thing you know we're in the finals and win it. Leicester City had a 5000/1 odd to win the Premier League at the beginning of last season but they still won. And I wouldn't say our odds are that low.

 

[ACC1224]

OK they are definitely the underdog by a mile. But to say zero chance is absolutely wrong.

and this upsets you because?

 

[Narow]

I don't expect to see many changes. Don't fix what ain't broke.

Was thinking in the event they are under by one goal and empty net or such situations not full game

 

[JonnyMacAwesome]

That's a pretty bold statement to make. We could get lucky and win a couple series and next thing you know we're in the finals and win it. Leicester City had a 5000/1 odd to win the Premier League at the beginning of last season but they still won. And I wouldn't say our odds are that low.

I think I saw on theScore our odds to win the cup were 25/1 ...so not nearly as bad as 5000/1.

You're right we could get a bit lucky and have things go our way quite a bit. Only time will tell.

Let's go Leafs!

 

[WilliamNylander]

We have a 30-40% chance in this series.

Definitely not zero in a game like hockey with so many variables

 

[ACC1224]

How many are betting on the Leafs to win this Series? Payout must be pretty good.

 

[The Examiner]

Was thinking in the event they are under by one goal and empty net or such situations not full game

They do that anyways so that wouldn't be a change.

 

[JonnyMacAwesome]

How many are betting on the Leafs to win this Series? Payout must be pretty good.

If I were a gambling man I would be. But I'm not, so I won't be...even in the worst scenario I'd probably never bet against my team...I'd just bet less money.

 

[Territory]

Not good for us.

 

[WilliamNylander]

****ing Columbus.

Hope Crosby makes quick work of them

 

[FearTheBeard]

We have a 30-40% chance in this series.

Definitely not zero in a game like hockey with so many variables

40% is a little high. We're likely in the 25-30 range

 

[FearTheBeard]

How many are betting on the Leafs to win this Series? Payout must be pretty good.

about 3-1

 

[saltming]

 

[ACC1224]

about 3-1

That's it?

 

[HarrisonFord]

**** sakes, why don't we just hand Washington game 1?

 

[SprDaVE]

These hot takes are awesome honestly. It might just give that little extra incentive for the team to rally around and to play out of their minds.

We've seen countless of upsets in the playoffs before. Not sure why this one is impossible?

 

[Daisy Jane]

Well...... that makes it spicy.

 

[The List Of Jericho]

Game 1 with Marincin= L

 

[saltming]

**** sakes, why don't we just hand Washington game 1?

We are doing the rope-a-dope.
Just when the caps get all smug; wham!!
Haha

 

[WilliamNylander]

Marincin in the top 4 is going to be...fun

RHD depth: Carrick, Polak (presumably playing injured), Marincin.

 

[FearTheBeard]

That's it?

Thats actually pretty steep. That sets us at a 25% win probability which is pretty accurate

Edit: Current odds on Pinnacle are 3.3-1 payout which puts us closer to 20% WP