If it was that easy, every team would have good goaltending. We may not be able to entice a good UFA to come here. We may not be able to come to terms on a trade for one. We may sign a good UFA and he turns out to be a dud for us, and then we're stuck with another Pavelec situation for however many years. I hate to be a pessimist,(lie)but the chances of a bad outcome are greater than a favorable one.
I disagree with both statements here.
I expect that some of the pending UFA goalies might sign with their current teams right after the XD but that is just guesswork.
Right now there are a lot of good goalies scheduled to be available. They range from top goalies like MAF and Bishop to short term bets like Halak and include several very promising backups who appear to have earned shots at the top job. I can't recall a time when there were so many good goalies available. Yes there is potential for a misstep but I don't think the probability of that is higher than the probability of success.
Compared to the Jets pretty much every team does have good goaltending. Is there any other team that had bad goaltending in '12 and hadn't fixed it by last year? Canes? Uh-uh. Ward was good in '12. And after he went bad they went out and got Lack. There's an example of your unfavourable outcome.
They do happen with goalies. At least they tried though. What the **** happened to Lack anyway?
So are you suggesting the status quo because it will all blow up in our faces anyway? In that case we have nothing to lose by trying, we are doomed to fail if we don't.