Lundqvist won't win a Vezina, unless he puts up some ungodly numbers in the last section of the season and a couple of competitors drop off. The Vezina is all about the numbers.
Considering the reputation the NYR defense has and the actual hell hole that they have displayed half this season, we won't have another Vezina. I'm of the firm belief the reputation Lundqvist has as a goalie that always plays bad during november/ december, has alot more to do with the actual team than him.
Which year did Lundqvist win the Vezina? The year the team pulled it together defensively, somewhat. They slided a bit along the last run, but meh. They actually pulled it together, defensively. But the other years? Can someone even resemble a thought of the last time the New York Rangers played solid hockey around november/ december (except the Vezina year)? It hasn't happened for eternity.
When the team plays like garbage for an extended period of time, every year, do you look at the franchise goalie trying to hold the camera straight in a Benny Hill scene, or do you look at the actors of the Benny Hill show? Lundqvist doesn't have that huge dips, all things included his bottom level isn't "AWFUL!", it's "quite solid". It's the team that plays some damn uninspiring hockey for large portions of the season, every season. No player can play perfect hockey for an entire season. But I don't look at Mr Consistency when I ponder about the team problems.
Mike Richter said: "No goalie can play better than his team allows him". Somewhat along those words. For an excellent goalie who played behind some very strong teams and a bunch of train wrecks, I think he got it right. A world class goalie can save the beacon most nights, but not a team playing like they're crawling in a ditch - for an extended period of time and not a game here and and a bunch there.
In fact, I would go as far as saying Lunqvist is an extremely consistent goaltender. He just happens to back that up with the stats to prove it. When he's on - which he is alot - the team must generally screw up royally if they don't get a win. If he's off, the team must just make their best not to look like absolute morons on the ice and do things right. That's HHOF goaltending according to me.