I agree with this to a certain extent.
Maybe it comes down to where you think that 1st will be. I personally think it will be in the top 15
I expect it to be in the 14-23 range with an outside shot at being 5 picks higher or lower depending on injuries and the playoffs (top4 teams in the playoffs pick 28-31 regardless of their regular season performance).
People are underestimating Duchene if they don't believe that swapping him for Galchenyuk wouldnt significantly improve the Habs.
Look at how well he is doing with Yakupov and especially a very lite version of Drouin in Kerfoot right now..
Duchene always has excelled with these high IQ playmaking kind of wingers (Fleischmann, Mueller, Tanguay and PAP before they got washed up) while he has rather struggled with the shoot first type of wingers in Landeskog and the washed up corpse of Iginla..
You might not agree with me that Duchene is the clearly superior player but you atleast should agree with me that he is the way better fit for the Habs...
IMO Drouin won't work for you guys at center. But he would be dynamite on a line with Duchene and a more defensively solid winger with some skill (Lehkonen anyone?).
I also think that Pacioretty - Danault - Hudon could work. Hudon is obviously no Radulov but I like his skillset enough to believe that the line could atleast be a pretty solid 2nd line that allows Pacioretty to put up his usual 25-30 goals...
Still also have Gallagher, Shaw, Plekanec, Byron, etc who are not that bad when it comes to providing forward depth.
IMO a healthy Weber, Price, Duchene and Drouin will be good enough to keep you in the playoff hunt till the last week of the season.
Depending on Price and what Bergevin could do at the deadline to strengthen their D, you could even win a few rounds in the playoffs..
So yeah. If I would believe that your pick will be a top 10 pick, I obviously should take Galchenyuk + 1st for Duchene.
But that seems unrealistic.
It will be closer to the 20 range probably.
And thats why I would demand another big piece as well.
Ultimately I just don't think the Habs and Avs will be able to get anything done. Not good trading partners...