Can you guarantee exactly when those prospects will come into their own as a legitimate top-4 defenceman in the NHL? Even if I agree that the Flames have NHL-quality prospects on defence, I certainly can't see when they're actually contribute even a solid half-season's worth of games.
You absolutely can't guarantee a due date on prospects, no. But the point I'm trying to make is not that we should've filled the 2RD spot with a prospect (as none of ours are ready to jump directly into top four minutes).
Instead, AS compared the picks we gave up to three B prospects - what I was saying is that out of any given three B prospects (true B prospects, not bargain bin mid-round picks), odds are at least 50 percent that one of them becomes better than Hamonic someday. I'm not saying that I want to wait until those prospects
are better than Hamonic, I'm saying that we probably gave up multiple Hamonic-quality or better players just to get someone who can play now. It's bad asset management, whether we get a current NHLer out of it or not.
Preds are a great example. They have been a middling team for years. They tweaked their backend slightly and boom, they're in the SCF. But not as a supposed cup favourite. Goes to show that you don't need to wait until people think you're a contender to become one.
That's a fair interpretation re: drafting and development. But the Preds also had put together multiple deep playoff runs before this year - they had been a "real" team for probably five years by this last postseason. I think the Flames' window of really contending and having a good shot is probably the same distance away.