danielpalfredsson
youtube dot com /watch?v=CdqMZ_s7Y6k
- Aug 14, 2013
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It's going to be interesting to see what happens when his contract is up. A lot can happen between now and then, but unless he improves there could be a wide gap between what he's actually worth and what he thinks he's worth. Can you imagine the uproar if he walks? It will be tough for PD to spin that.
I would predict he probably extends for something like 6.5M x 5 or 6 years. He is making 6.5M in real money next season, and I think would be opposed to taking a pay cut. He'll be about 28.5 years of age when his extension kicks in.
If Duchene has a third straight 40 point season in 18-19, he's not getting 6.5Mx5-6 years on the open market, but at the same point, it makes no sense for him to take a contract appropriate for a 40 point center from Ottawa because if he plays out the season and actually plays like a 1C, he'll get 7M+ as a UFA on the open market. So it's not like Ottawa can just pay him 4.5M and call it a day because that's what he's been producing like, they have to pay him something close to what he should be worth if he was producing near his previous career average or else he just won't re-sign.