Bottom 10? Edit: 6th worst, trending down, season over
- Thread starter McJadeddog
- Start date
McJadeddog
Registered User
Well we are a quarter of the way through the season almost, and we're 3rd last, soooo......
I think bottom 5 and playoffs are about an equal chance. I think we finish 17-22 range.
Quarter, are we in January?the quarter is usally after All star game.
Last edited:
SomeDudeOTI
Registered User
I'm more optimistic than 17-22, but I wouldn't argue the equal chance statement very hard either
What. A quarter is 25 % 20.5 games I'd a quarter. Tomorrow is our 20th game
We currently have a 11%chance to make playoffs. I'd say we have a 11% chance to stay this bad too.
no, but he makes questionable decisions, for example how he is using puljujarvi and also the personnel used on the power play.
SomeDudeOTI
Registered User
It really is a coin toss at this point. I personally think they'll figure it out and pull their heads out from where the sun don't shine and make the playoffs, but they have to do it soon. The other possibility is they keep bumbling along and stay right where they are.
BlackDogg
perpetuum defectum
- Oct 3, 2015
- 41,358
- 41,808
nexttothemoon
and again...
One area that has turned around for the team is save percentage. They are 15th overall in all situations now and 9th best at even strength. Goals against/60 is also 16th overall... so essentially at the median in the NHL.
That tells me that the goaltending/defense has tightened up from where it was at the start of the year.
Unfortunately the shooting percentage is still painfully low... dead last at evens and 2nd worst in all situations. They are also 3rd worst in goals/60 so it's still the offense that needs a kick in the ass to get it going.
I liked how the D activated and went for it in the Vegas game. The 6 Oilers dmen accounted for 24 of 53 total corsi events in that game which is almost half from the D.
That's the key imo... utilizing the D to activate, jump up and really drive offense. Obviously that's easier against an expansion club like Vegas with a 4th/5th string goalie BUT they have to find a way to do that in more games and the forwards will benefit as well.
They don't have enough forwards who can finish obviously which is why they need to create more from the D... get other teams on their heels and force them to back in more when the Oilers D presses which open up lanes and gives the forwards better chances at rebounds/deflections etc.
Auvitu should be in most games... he's much more dynamic than Gryba offensively. When Sekera is back that element is there in his game as well as he's a better puck mover than most of the Oilers D.
Benning/Russell/Larrson have to push harder for offense as well. Nurse has been good and improving. Klefbom... well he's been pretty chaotic and you never know what type of night you'll get from him. He's so poor defensively that some nights he'd be better off playing a safer game rather than pressing for offense but other nights he's good with creating chances and offensive pressure without too many defensive lapses... those are the nights he's a positive asset, but those aren't that common either.
That tells me that the goaltending/defense has tightened up from where it was at the start of the year.
Unfortunately the shooting percentage is still painfully low... dead last at evens and 2nd worst in all situations. They are also 3rd worst in goals/60 so it's still the offense that needs a kick in the ass to get it going.
I liked how the D activated and went for it in the Vegas game. The 6 Oilers dmen accounted for 24 of 53 total corsi events in that game which is almost half from the D.
That's the key imo... utilizing the D to activate, jump up and really drive offense. Obviously that's easier against an expansion club like Vegas with a 4th/5th string goalie BUT they have to find a way to do that in more games and the forwards will benefit as well.
They don't have enough forwards who can finish obviously which is why they need to create more from the D... get other teams on their heels and force them to back in more when the Oilers D presses which open up lanes and gives the forwards better chances at rebounds/deflections etc.
Auvitu should be in most games... he's much more dynamic than Gryba offensively. When Sekera is back that element is there in his game as well as he's a better puck mover than most of the Oilers D.
Benning/Russell/Larrson have to push harder for offense as well. Nurse has been good and improving. Klefbom... well he's been pretty chaotic and you never know what type of night you'll get from him. He's so poor defensively that some nights he'd be better off playing a safer game rather than pressing for offense but other nights he's good with creating chances and offensive pressure without too many defensive lapses... those are the nights he's a positive asset, but those aren't that common either.
McJadeddog
Registered User
The season is 82 games long, 82/4 = 20.5. So even if I round up for you, the 21 game mark is the quarter mark of the season. I can't believe I had to actually write that out, but apparently I had to.
McJadeddog
Registered User
So with todays loss we are almost at the 3 game losing stream I predicted (and was made fun of for). A loss on Tuesday against the Blues, brings us to 5 games under .500.
Here are some lovely stats:
- 3rd last in the league
- on pace for a 66 point season, since the 1999-00 season, when 3 point games were introduced, only 23 teams have had worst seasons than 66 points
- a 66 point season would be the 4th worst season in oilers history
Anybody still unsure that we are going to finish in the bottom-10? My "joke" of us finishing in the bottom-5 is looking more and more likely.
This team is *beyond* putrid. Chia and McLellan should be fired tonight, if not sooner. This cannot continue. Somebody has to be held accountable.
Here are some lovely stats:
- 3rd last in the league
- on pace for a 66 point season, since the 1999-00 season, when 3 point games were introduced, only 23 teams have had worst seasons than 66 points
- a 66 point season would be the 4th worst season in oilers history
Anybody still unsure that we are going to finish in the bottom-10? My "joke" of us finishing in the bottom-5 is looking more and more likely.
This team is *beyond* putrid. Chia and McLellan should be fired tonight, if not sooner. This cannot continue. Somebody has to be held accountable.
As usual the oilers are a big bunch of losers and about time the rose colored glasses people admitted it.
They suck and with one of the best players in the world. Sprinkled with bad cap situation.
Fu oilers. Forget indifference. I don't like you anymore.
They suck and with one of the best players in the world. Sprinkled with bad cap situation.
Fu oilers. Forget indifference. I don't like you anymore.
Drivesaitl
Finding Hyman
You're all over the map. Your other big thread here is the one where you are saying the Oilers low scoring can't continue. Do you post threads with polarities so that one will be right?
Its like calling heads and tails and winning..
Next 2 games are St Louis and Detroit back to back. Looking like my original prediction of only 10 wins by December 1st might come true.
6 games left.
St Louis, Detroit, Buffalo, Boston, Arizona, Toronto
St Louis and Toronto at this point are sure losses. We have a chance in the other 4.
6 games left.
St Louis, Detroit, Buffalo, Boston, Arizona, Toronto
St Louis and Toronto at this point are sure losses. We have a chance in the other 4.
yababy
Registered User
- Jun 26, 2015
- 3,441
- 828
We're on the same page.
My preseason prediction to the end of Nov was 10-16.
How come nobody is asking us how we knew that when Oilers were being chose as cup favorite?
McDrai
Registered User
- Mar 29, 2009
- 24,199
- 18,815
McJadeddog
Registered User
The low shooting% likely won't continue (its gone up around 1% since that original post), but as I have said in updates to that thread, I don't think the team will improve their shooting% to a league average or anything. We have significantly less skill than an average NHL team, so I don't expect the shooting% to be average either. However, we don't have near historically low skill either, which is where our shooting% was when I made that thread. In my last post in that thread, I think I predicted around a 8% shooting% for the rest of the season, which is less than league average.
Bryanbryoil
Pray For Ukraine
- Sep 13, 2004
- 86,204
- 34,670
It's still too early for me to throw in the towel and I really hope that the players feel the same way. That said they should've had this season turned around already so with every loss I am getting less and less confident in this team.
I don't get how Lucic/Strome haven't been healthy scratched yet. Sure it might make us worse for a game, but maybe it'll wake them up.
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