The guy who literally built up his whole argument around a bunch of HYPOTHETICAL numbers that have zero reflection in real life numbers of top 5 players or other top talents that have never come to North America now wants to keep it to the facts, lol. The irony is rich.
Why does the 2004 draft has "no correlation"? Stop blustering. The only point there was if your scouts think a Russian is better than anyone else, it'd be dumb to pass him up because you're worried about some 20-25 % chance (that you pulled out of thin air). That's pretty obvious, the 2004 Draft is the most extreme example of how dumb that would play out in theory, but it remains true every draft and at every draft position. Specifically, as in the case below, you discuss top 5 picks, so why wouldn't a real life example involving top 5 picks be applicable?