Projected NHL All-Star (Tier 3)
4. Leo Carlsson, C, Orebro (SWEDEN)
Dec. 26, 2004 | 6′ 3.0″ | 198 pounds | Shoots left
Tier: Projected NHL All-Star
Analysis: Carlsson has come out of the gates flying in Sweden. He looks like a pro despite being a first-year draft eligible, with a big, sturdy frame and the ability to win a lot of puck battles versus men. Carlsson has so much that’s attractive from an NHL perspective. His skill, hockey sense and compete level are all excellent. He’s able to create a ton of offense in the high-percentage areas with game-breaking skill elements to boot. His only drawback is a lack of true separation speed, so he’ll need to rely on his power and compete when he gets to the league, but he has the potential to be a star and has a real chance to break up the somewhat consensus top three players in the draft.
Projected top-of-the-lineup player (Tier 4)
5. William Smith, C, Usa U-18 (NTDP)
Mar. 17, 2005 | 5′ 11.75″ | 178 pounds | Shoots right
Tier: Projected top-of-the-lineup player
Analysis: Smith is the top player on the program this season. There’s a lot about his game to be excited about. He has a lot of individual skill and is a strong skater. He’s thus able to beat a lot of defenders one-on-one and can break shifts open. Smith is a high-end playmaker who can make a lot of difficult plays on the move. He’s also a strong goal-scorer who is a threat to finish from mid-range. I think he works hard enough and has shown he can kill penalties. He’s an average-sized forward, but his game has pace and a style of play that will translate to the pro game to go with a dynamic flair.
6. Dalibor Dvorsky, C, Aik (SWEDEN-2)
Jun. 15, 2005 | 6′ 1.0″ | 201 pounds | Shoots left
Tier: Projected top-of-the-lineup player
Analysis: Dvorsky has been up and down between the J20 and Allsvenskan levels this season but when he’s played versus men he’s looked quite good. He is a player with a ton of offensive ability and is deadly within the offensive zone due to a great combination of skill, vision and a shot that is a legit threat from range. Dvorsky can pick apart defenses and a power play can run through him. His biggest issue is footspeed as his game lacks the pace for higher levels and to make a dent versus men. His work rate is good enough but he’s not an overly physical player either. Thus there’s a chance he may need to be moved to the wing in the NHL. His offense combined with decent size and skill makes him a highly enticing prospect with a lot of offensive potential.
8. Brayden Yager, C, Moose Jaw (WHL)
Jan. 3, 2005 | 5′ 10.5″ | 166 pounds | Shoots right
Tier: Projected bubble top and middle-of-the-lineup player
Analysis: Yager hasn’t scored a ton in the WHL yet this season, but he was arguably the best player at the Hlinka Gretzky this summer. Yager is a player with a pro-style game. He plays with a lot of speed and energy, showing the ability to carry pucks up the ice and make skilled plays with pace. He’s not the biggest center, but Yager plays hard, showing a commitment to making plays without the puck and winning a lot of battles. His main offensive weapon is his shot, which is high end, but he does have the slick hands and vision to beat defenses in other ways. At his size there will be minor questions about whether he’s an actual NHL center but the way he plays makes me think he has a reasonable chance to stick down the middle.
11. Nate Danielson, C, Brandon (WHL)
Sep. 27, 2004 | 6′ 1.25″ | 185 pounds | Shoots right
Tier: Projected bubble top and middle-of-the-lineup player
Analysis: Danielson is a well-rounded center who has been an excellent player in junior. He has the skill and hockey sense to make a lot of plays inside the offensive zone, while also having the NHL body and skating ability to make you think he will be able to make those kinds of plays at higher levels. Danielson can drive the play due to his brain, feet and compete down the middle. You’d like to see a little more consistent finishing touch from him, but I think he has that kind of offense in him.
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