GDT: 2023 NHL DRAFT 6/28-29 in SMASHVILLE

[NoNecksCurse]

The Dallas pick is going to be lower than the #79 we traded, possibly in a less deep draft too.

Yeah it will probably be in the 85-91 range plus 181-187 for 79

Not sure how the value tracks

 

[herzausstein]

3 - 4th round picks

 

[AintLifeGrand]

us ndtp doesnt even send a regular squad to it anymore… i dont think its as important as most think

I guess one of our scouts went to the Hlinka...

 

[BigFatCat999]

I have hit the chemo stage of my MS treatment for I won't be on a lot.

EDIT: That being said, get a couple of Nordic goalie flyers and I'm good

 

[Porter Stoutheart]

Haha, Corey Perry to Chicago. That's the right place for him.

 

[Scoresberg]

Im not gonna get wrapped up too much in these picks at this point. These guys have been passed up by every team several times at this point.

True but often I feel like the most obvious picks are the best ones especially in lower rounds. Scouts tend to "big-brain" and over-analyze their picks.

 

[AintLifeGrand]

wow carolina nabs both perron and rykov

trotz is mid!!!

 

[BigFatCat999]

Now goalie projects please!!!!!!!!!!

 

[101st_fan]

Willis over Lipinski.

 

[Flgatorguy87]

Dating back to 2010 we have about a 41% hit rate on guys turning into NHL'ers from the top 3 rounds. If we do the 4th round alone back to 2009 we are at 35% for NHL'ers.

All that so say, this class is big enough that based purely on mathematical average, we should have 4-5 NHL'ers out of the group through the 4th.

The hit rate for 5th or later is as bleak as you'd guess. We've only hit on Bitteto and Juuso in the last decade with a big 0/6 draft in 2013. Hit rate is under 9% for 5th or later for our drafts back to 09'.

 

[Porter Stoutheart]

At least we traded up this time. But still, boooo.

 

[BigFatCat999]

Even if the Preds traded all their left over picks, the still have drafted a whole class already!!!!!!!!!

 

[Porter Stoutheart]

Even if the Preds traded all their left over picks, the still have drafted a whole class already!!!!!!!!!

I just don't see the value in punting them off to a different draft year. Even if you project out that you have your minor league roster filled up, you can focus instead on picking guys in the USHL who are going off for 4 years of college, or you can pick a Russian whose rights you hold forever. A logjam needn't be created.

 

[herzausstein]

Woot Finn goalie

 

[Porter Stoutheart]

Woot Finn goalie

Overager, but really good. More Saros than Rinne. Great pick here, finally!

 

[PredsV82]

Finnish Goalie, check

 

[PredsV82]

So was that Tampa own pick we traded back to them for a 4th next year? Basically gambling that they will suck more next year?

 

[Porter Stoutheart]

Muzzatti is a big boy, 6-5/209!

 

[NoNecksCurse]

So was that Tampa own pick we traded back to them for a 4th next year? Basically gambling that they will suck more next year?

We received CHI 4th round pick

 

[Bringer of Jollity]

Haha, Corey Perry to Chicago. That's the right place for him.

I know it's anathema around here but he's actually proven to be a fairly sought-after veteran presence. Shoot, the team that just drafted 1st overall (and will suck next year again) just traded for the rights to negotiate with him 2 days early (he's a UFA).

 

[101st_fan]

Muzzati is big, but, I’m not seeing a lot of output in his stat lines. We’ll find out over the next few months what the scouts saw in him.

A 7th next year for the rights to talk to Perry is as low of a price that could actually be paid.

 

[PredsV82]

So we have obviously had several 4th rounders hit big (saros, arvy, smith) and some very late hits(Pekka, Parsinnen, Erat, Skrastins)

But have we ever had a 5th or 6th round pick amount to anything?

 

[Flgatorguy87]

So we have obviously had several 4th rounders hit big (saros, arvy, smith) and some very late hits(Pekka, Parsinnen, Erat, Skrastins)

But have we ever had a 5th or 6th round pick amount to anything?

I was digging through earlier. Easily our worst rounds. Anthony Bitetto, Mike Santorelli, Cal O'Rielly were the only even remotely recent/decent guys in the 5/6.

 

[Viqsi]

https://nwcs.com/~jvc/haqi/2023EPDraftGuide-PredsPicks.pdf

Assuming we don't trade back into the seventh round, here's everybody.

 

[triggrman]

Seems like we had a lot of athletic guys with high compete levels. I'm good with that.