I decided to crunch some numbers since i'm bored waiting for the next set of games. The knock on Tua is he's trash against teams that are actually good. I do recall him being pretty bad in some of those cases but not all of them. So i decided to do some digging and see just how bad exactly.
Tua against teams above 500;
2020
- week 7 LA: 12/22, 93 yards, 1 INT (W)
- week 8 Arizona: 20/28, 248 yards, 2 TD (W)
- Week 13 KC: 28/48, 316 yards, 2 TD, 1 INT (L)
- Week 17 Buffalo: 35/58, 361 yards 1 TD, 3 INT (L)
2020 total stats
2-2, 1,018 yards 5 TD, 5 INT, 95/156, 6.5 YPA
2021
- Week 8 Buffalo: 21/39, 205 yards, 1 INT (L)
- Week 10 Baltimore 8/13, 158 yards (W)
- week 16 Titans; 18/38, 205 yards, 1 INT (L)
- Week 17 patriots: 15/22, 109 yards, 1 TD (W)
2021 total stats
2-2, 677 yards, 1 TD, 2 INT, 62/112, 6.0 YPA
2022
- Week 2 baltimore: 36/50, 469 yards, 6 TD, 2 INT (W)
- week 3 Buffalo: 13/18, 186 yards, 1 TD (W)
- week 13 San Francisco: 18/33, 295 yards, 2 TD/2 INT (L)
- week 15 Buffalo: 17/30, 234 yards, 2 TD (L)
2022 total stats
2-2, 1095 yards, 11 TD/4 INT, 84/131, 9.0 YPA
2023:
- Week 4 Buffalo: 23/35, 282 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT (L)
- Week 7 Philly: 23/32, 216 yards, 1 TD, I INT (L)
- Week 9 Kansas City: 21/34 193 yards, 1 TD (L)
- Week 16 Dallas: 24/37, 293 yards, 1 TD (W)
- Week 17 Baltimore: 22/38, 237 yards, 2 TD, 2 INT (L)
- Week 18 Buffalo: 17/27, 173 yards, 1 TD, 2 INT (L)
- Wild card round: 20/39, 199 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT (L)
2023 total stats:
1-6, 1,593 yards, 8 TD/7 INT, 150/242, 6.5 YPA
total stats: 19 GS, 7-12 W/L, 23 TD/18 INT, 6.8 YPA
Tua against everyone else: (either below or at 500)
2020: 6-1, 787 yards, 91/132, 5 TD/1 INT, 5.9 YPA
2021: 6-3, 1976 yards, 201/276, 15 TD/8 INT, 7.1 YPA
2022: 6-5, 2364 yards, 175/269, 14/4 INT, 8.7 YPA
2023: 10-1, 3230 yards, 256/357, 22 TD/8 INT, 9.0 YPA
Tua against teams above 500: 19 GS, 7-12 W/L, 25 TD/18 INT, 6.8 YPA
Tua against teams at 500 or below: 37 GS, 28-9, 56 TD/21 INT, 8.0 YPA
Over a full season's worth of data shows that yeah, Tua kinda does suck against good teams. Also worth noting that on the above 500 side the shootout he had in Baltimore last year is actually kinda inflating those numbers given he went off for 500 yards and 6 TDs. Take that game away suddenly it's a 19/16 TD to INT ratio.
He's literally the Polynesian Kirk Cousins and that angers me.