Lol, "science". Vegas odds? Ouija board? What are the Vegas odds of the Canucks drafting #1 overall? Not that tha would actually mean anything, but just curious.
And your last sentence is pure garbage. The BEST chance to get the #1 is to finish last.
How's that? The road to winning should never be considered "easier" than the road to losing. Winning a cup should not be considered "easier" than tanking. It's an insult to how difficult/competitive the game is.
If the GM suddenly decides "Okay, we're going to do poorly and go for the blablabla sweepstakes now", and that's his goal for some silly reason, he easily can make moves that for certain would at least move the team backwards. Enough to win the sweepstakes depends on how far he's willing to go with that. GMs can do everything in their power to IMPROVE the team, let alone win the cup, and it might not happen. The team could do even worse despite this. It's hard to do, and it's hard to do right.
Certainly it's "easier" to freefall than go on a run. Doesn't mean we should do it, but certainly it's easier.
Lol, "science". Vegas odds? Ouija board? What are the Vegas odds of the Canucks drafting #1 overall? Not that tha would actually mean anything, but just curious.
And your last sentence is pure garbage. The BEST chance to get the #1 is to finish last.
if you exist in a world where "ok we're going to do badly now" is a thing that happens and is socially acceptable, every other team can and also will do it. it's just as hard to lose a game where every team is getting the puck and putting it in their own net as it is to win a game where both teams are trying to win
you can't exempt the canucks from the realities of pride and reputation without doing it to other teams as well and then you run into a mess thats not realistic
Way I see it, no team has won the cup 3 years in a row since the 1980-1983 Islanders.
Pretty sure I can name a team that has managed that feat for 1st overall quite recently.
Seems clear which one is "easier" once a GM puts his mind to it.
The odds have changed several times for the worst recently though. We don't even know what the odds are this year, but I doubt they're much better than 15% for the 30th place team.
Where did 15% come from?
And if any year is a good year to nerf the odds for the 30th placed team to win the lottery, it would be a year where a Canadian team like the Canucks are guaranteed to finish in the bottom 3.
I have a feeling the nerf is coming in the next few years.
Even if we end up drafting something like 10th, that gives us a ~2% chance to win the lottery. I really doubt our actual chances to win the Cup this season are >2%. They're more likely in the range of 0.01%.
But it's still "easier" to free-fall unintentionally than it is succeed intentionally.if you exist in a world where "ok we're going to do badly now" is a thing that happens and is socially acceptable, every other team can and also will do it. it's just as hard to lose a game where every team is getting the puck and putting it in their own net as it is to win a game where both teams are trying to win
you can't exempt the canucks from the realities of pride and reputation without doing it to other teams as well and then you run into a mess thats not realistic