Troubadour
Registered User
- Feb 23, 2018
- 1,158
- 844
Lets just say its 10% for each of the next 4 years instead of 15% and descending just for simplified purposes.
That makes a grand total of 40% instead of your 38%.
Its 10% out of 100% per season.
You added up 4 years of chances into 1 season. Math doesnt work that way.
It would be 40% ( or your 38% ) out of 400%.
Which still beings his avg chance of winning to 10% a year for next 4 years.
Read who i quoted original post for better understanding.
Another "interesting" thing is that we all have been sure for years now that Crosby will surpass OV in career points. It seems pretty certain that it won't happen this year either. Not important in any ways and not meant as a comparison of these two. But it's crazy how sure we all were that Crosby will overtake Ovechkin in career points at least two seasons a go.
No, I know its a cardinal sin to say this on hf, but his play has been on a decline, for a couple years now with the couple of dozen Pens games I watched. Still a top 5 forward, the torch was passed to Mcdavid's generation. Factor in his age and injury issues, just seems very unlikely.
St.Louis, HSedin and Thorton won the Art Ross at old ages.
What Crosby needs is an elite young linemate who can make plays without his help. As it stands, it's impossible for him to win when he has to do everything himself every night. Even if Crosby was younger, the result would be similar. None of his current linemates are close to being as good as Kunitz was.
St.Louis, HSedin and Thorton won the Art Ross at old ages.
What Crosby needs is an elite young linemate who can make plays without his help. As it stands, it's impossible for him to win when he has to do everything himself every night. Even if Crosby was younger, the result would be similar. None of his current linemates are close to being as good as Kunitz was.
I don't think he will. The league is just becoming more of a speed game and at this point I don't believe his overall offensive skills are on par with McDavid and MacKinnon anyway.
St.Louis, HSedin and Thorton won the Art Ross at old ages.
What Crosby needs is an elite young linemate who can make plays without his help. As it stands, it's impossible for him to win when he has to do everything himself every night. Even if Crosby was younger, the result would be similar. None of his current linemates are close to being as good as Kunitz was.
It is unlikely that a player who could only manage 2 art rosses through 13 seasons of their prime is going to defy the odds and improve into their 30's.
I'd bet against it.
Sidney Crosby not even a top 30 player this season - 15th in scoring, heavily dependent on secondary assists (which account for more than 33% of his points), heavily dependent on ice time with Malkin, Letang and Kessel to lift his scoring, and a minus player on a very good team (Malkin is +18).
If he wins another Art Ross it will be because of an injury to McDavid and other younger currently better players.
Lets just say its 10% for each of the next 4 years instead of 15% and descending just for simplified purposes.
That makes a grand total of 40% instead of your 38%.
Its 10% out of 100% per season.
You added up 4 years of chances into 1 season. Math doesnt work that way.
It would be 40% ( or your 38% ) out of 400%.
Which still beings his avg chance of winning to 10% a year for next 4 years.
No, I know its a cardinal sin to say this on hf, but his play has been on a decline, for a couple years now with the couple of dozen Pens games I watched. Still a top 5 forward, the torch was passed to Mcdavid's generation. Factor in his age and injury issues, just seems very unlikely.
Crosby has had one season over 90 points in his past 8 seasons. He’s not winning another scoring race.
McDavid may have his second straight 100 point season - and that’s with a god awful power play.
Crosby will continue to do well - but what we are seeing from him this year is normal for him lately - not a down year. He’s right around a PPG player now.
I love it when some smart-ass tries to school other users but ends up showing everybody just how dumb he is...
Math works exactly that way.
Please shut up and let the grown ups talk
Crosby has had one season over 90 points in his past 8 seasons. He’s not winning another scoring race.
McDavid may have his second straight 100 point season - and that’s with a god awful power play.
Crosby will continue to do well - but what we are seeing from him this year is normal for him lately - not a down year. He’s right around a PPG player now.
That is the biggest lie on HFboards.
Crosby gets plenty of ice time with Malkin, Kessel, and Letang. They are all over his scoring logs:
Sidney Crosby 2017-18 Scoring Log | Hockey-Reference.com
Well I am a math teacher and understand how to calculate probabilities. Clearly you don´t...You must be the kid who tries to force the square block into the circle and ends up breaking the toy for everyone else.
Can you please get your mommy or daddy on here please. They need to be told they failed at home schooling you.