Why does Stamkos suck this year?

DFC

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He had a pretty strong game last night: 1 goal (game winner), 10 shot attempts, 5 shots on goal.

That said, what you're seeing is what Stamkos is and has been for several seasons. He's a finisher and sniper who just doesn't want to shoot the puck anymore for whatever reasons (injury-related or just a "I want to become a more complete player so I'll try to become a playmaker and two-way player" which he just is not, not yet). Let me tell you, it's super frustrating to watch. He still has one of the deadliest shot arsenals in the league, he is still quite the skater, he's still one of the fittest players in the game.

He has (had?) the ability to disappear and fly under the opponent's radar only to re-appear out of nowhere in an open spot. The opponents only realized it when the goal horn already sounded. He's best when the puck is on his blade for no longer than a second. Now he's trying to drive the play or do a nifty pass - and fails more often than not, unfortunately. Sorry Steve, you're not a Crosby or McDavid.

It's also no surprise that his numbers went down last season and at the beginning of this season as soon as Kucherov turned dead cold. They fed off of each other last season and formed one of the best duos in the league. Now they're trying to make the pretty plays all the time, always a pass too much, always a dangle more which results in puck fumbles and giveaways left and right. Once Coop broke them up (Stamkos is now with Point and Gourde, Kucherov is with Johnson and Palat to reform the once great Triplets line) they both look better.

While some of this is true, I think it's avoiding the reality that Stamkos isn't the same player, physically, that he used to be. His skillset, particularly his skating, has diminished significantly. Watch him start from a standstill. It's way below average for a 2018 forward. Last game, he struggled to get by Trevor Daley, who was skating backwards. It was a play where anybody on our team not named Killorn would have blown by him and been in the clear. But Stamkos no longer as that ability.
 

Atas2000

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That's just not true. You could have plugged anybody into that top line when Kucherov was hot. When Kucherov cooled down, Stamkos and Namestnikov's flaws showed up. Namestnikov was a frustrating player to watch in TB.
That anyone was Miller and it didn't work. And not because of Kucherov.
 
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DFC

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That anyone was Miller and it didn't work. And not because of Kucherov.

...How did it not work? It actually worked very well to finish the regular season (Miller scored 10 goals after the TDL). Even so, that was past the point where Kucherov was "white hot." When Kucherov cooled down, Namesntikov was removed from the line because it was no longer effective. It didn't heat up again until Miller was added at the TDL. But the line was only ever, ever, as hot as Kucherov. When he was bad, the line was bad. And Kucherov went stone cold in the playoffs, to the point where there were nights he was a liability.
 

LightningStrikes

Champa Bay Lightning
Nov 24, 2009
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That anyone was Miller and it didn't work. And not because of Kucherov.
It didn't work? Miller finished with 10 goals and 8 assists in 19 games on that line. They started cooling off in the playoffs and completely imploded in the ECF against the Caps. As soon as Kuch did not score that line was not intact anymore. Same thing happened with Namestnikov on that line just before we got Miller. It's all linked to Kucherov who had that great of an impact on his linemates and especially Stamkos. Miller was just the right spark at the right time before the TDL to get him going again.
 
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Rschmitz

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Two things happened in succession.

1. Stamkos got injured and it dulled the two or three things he was world class at.

2. To make up for that, he has been trying to focus on other areas which he simply is not that good at.
 
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Rygu

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Does he still train conditioning with Gary Roberts in the off season?

If not, there's the reason. One does not simply stop training conditioning with Gary Roberts.
 
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LightningStrikes

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Nov 24, 2009
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Two things happened in succession.

1. Stamkos got injured and it dulled the two or three things he was world class at.

2. To make up for that, he has been trying to focus on other areas which he simply is not that good at.
It's interesting because we suddenly saw him take shifts on the PK. It was like he was trying to become a light version of his idol Steve Yzerman. As he becomes older and slower it's not idiotic by him to try and find a new mold and to help his team in other areas. Yzerman himself turned from bonafide top scorer into one of the greatest two-way forwards in the game over his career. Until his last shift he was a key player on his team. The problem is, Stamkos, the occasional successful PK shift or defensive faceoff aside, has never had the playmaker or the defensive expert in him. Heck, he was never even the guy carrying the puck up ice, leading the rush, and distributing it tape to tape across the ice. In fact he's been the guy who needed a St. Louis or a Kucherov on his line who did the heavy lifting, to work and produce. Not sure he can ever be that guy. I won't blame him for trying to improve and find a new role as he grows older but right now he's merely a PP specialist with below-average ES contribution.

It's not as bad as it seems, as hockey fans - and mostly Stamkos fans - we sure are overreacting at times. We've seen this young player grow and become one of the league's best goal scorers. We have a lot of great memories and we won a hell of a lot of games thanks to him and his play. The season is still young, slumps are part of it, sure, but that said, there have been red flags in his game over the past few months and seasons. And his play sure has changed - for the worse.
 
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Johnny Hoxville

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Lol, so much overreactions in this thread. Reminds me of every year when Iginla would have like 2-3 points at the end October. From November on he would torch the rest of the season and end up with 80-90pts.

This is hockey folks. Crosby has had slumps and so does Ovechkin. It’s not gonna last, he’s a premier scorer and he will break out of this sooner than later.
 

DFC

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Two things happened in succession.

1. Stamkos got injured and it dulled the two or three things he was world class at.

2. To make up for that, he has been trying to focus on other areas which he simply is not that good at.

This sums it up nicely. Stamkos is no longer a great skater, nor even a "very good" skater. He also no longer has a top 2 or 3 shot in the NHL, but he DOES still have a very good-to-great shot. If he starts utilizing it more appropriately, and not trying to turn himself into Steve Yzerman, he can still be an effective player, capable of 30+ goals with the right linemates. Just get in position and shoot, which is what he did last night.

But those days of blazing up the wing and blowing a wrister by some frozen goalie are more/less over. And he knows it. He's trying to figure out how to adapt and be effective with his new, lesser skillset, and it kind of looks like he's just wandering the wilderness for the time-being.
 

The Panther

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He must be approaching every game as if it's game 7 of the Eastern Conference Finals. Only explanation for his play thus far.
tenor.gif
 

DFC

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Does he still train conditioning with Gary Roberts in the off season?

If not, there's the reason. One does not simply stop training conditioning with Gary Roberts.

We're actually, on our board, wondering if this could be contributing to the problem, that he DOES still, we assume, train with Roberts.

Anecdotal evidence: Tyler Johnson appears to have found a time machine, after two years spent adding strength. He took some muscle off this past off-season and re-discovered his "extra gear," which is the thing that made him so effective when he first came into the league. Even in hindsight, he was our best forward in 2015. And that version of him appears to be back, given the speed he's showing in games, which came from focusing a lot less on strength. It's hard not to wonder if this kind of thing is at least a small contributor in Stamkos's skating decline, even if injuries are the main culprit.
 

DFC

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Lol, so much overreactions in this thread. Reminds me of every year when Iginla would have like 2-3 points at the end October. From November on he would torch the rest of the season and end up with 80-90pts.

This is hockey folks. Crosby has had slumps and so does Ovechkin. It’s not gonna last, he’s a premier scorer and he will break out of this sooner than later.

TB fans said this last year when Stamkos put up 86 points. We've been saying it since the broken leg. We said it in his contract year, and we said it after he signed. His skillset has changed dramatically, and it's on a sharp, progressive, decline.

12 ES goals last year. Same as Chris Kunitz. He's on about that same pace right now, and it's not a thing I expect to change.

Also, our reaction isn't really about how much Stamkos is scoring. It's about the way he looks on the ice, and how he's getting more and more ineffective at even strength as time goes on. It's been this way since the broken leg, and it's getting worse. He's losing mobility every year.
 
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DFC

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It's interesting because we suddenly saw him take shifts on the PK. It was like he was trying to become a light version of his idol Steve Yzerman. As he becomes older and slower it's not idiotic by him to try and find a new mold and to help his team in other areas. Yzerman himself turned from bonafide top scorer into one of the greatest two-way forwards in the game over his career. Until his last shift he was a key player on his team. The problem is, Stamkos, the occasional successful PK shift or defensive faceoff aside, has never had the playmaker or the defensive expert in him. Heck, he was never even the guy carrying the puck up ice, leading the rush, and distributing it tape to tape across the ice. In fact he's been the guy who needed a St. Louis or a Kucherov on his line who did the heavy lifting, to work and produce. Not sure he can ever be that guy. I won't blame him for trying to improve and find a new role as he grows older but right now he's merely a PP specialist with below-average ES contribution.

It's not as bad as it seems, as hockey fans - and mostly Stamkos fans - we sure are overreacting at times. We've seen this young player grow and become one of the league's best goal scorers. We have a lot of great memories and we won a hell of a lot of games thanks to him and his play. The season is still young, slumps are part of it, sure, but that said, there have been red flags in his game over the past few months and seasons. And his play sure has changed - for the worse.

I think you're right that he envisions himself making an Yzerman-type transition, into a two-way force. Yzerman did it because he had a coach call him out on putting his own achievements ahead of the team's achievements. There might be a little of that in Stamkos too, but I think it's more that he, more than anybody else, is aware of his new limitations. He can no longer get a shot off before the goalie realizes he's set to shoot. That was one of his main weapons. I don't know that he can still shoot off either leg either.

But Yzerman had an all time great hockey IQ. And that's never been Stamkos's strong suit. Stammer's strengths were always skating and shooting, and those are the exact two things that have been taken away from him, at least in part. He's lost more skating than shooting ability.
 

VoluntaryDom

Formerly DominicBoltsFan / Ⓐ / ✞
Oct 31, 2016
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Stamkos isn’t an elite goal scorer anymore but he’s become one of the best playmaking centers in the league and his defense has improved quite a bit. He hasn’t been bad so far this year though I know he can be a lot better.
 

Rygu

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We're actually, on our board, wondering if this could be contributing to the problem, that he DOES still, we assume, train with Roberts.

Anecdotal evidence: Tyler Johnson appears to have found a time machine, after two years spent adding strength. He took some muscle off this past off-season and re-discovered his "extra gear," which is the thing that made him so effective when he first came into the league. Even in hindsight, he was our best forward in 2015. And that version of him appears to be back, given the speed he's showing in games, which came from focusing a lot less on strength. It's hard not to wonder if this kind of thing is at least a small contributor in Stamkos's skating decline, even if injuries are the main culprit.
That...actually does make sense. Do you know if he still does that during the off season?
 

NYRKing

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Mar 12, 2008
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Stamkos will be fine, but the lightning is team butter. They need more guys outside of the top talent, Stamkos-Kucherov-Point to provide the two-way sandpaper and energy needed in the playoffs. JT Miller ain't that guy. Super talented, but the light turns-off in crunch time, and they already have so much scoring talent. I was shocked at the Miller extension after the playoffs and not a trade, but who knows how things will change at this year's deadline...
 
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DFC

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That...actually does make sense. Do you know if he still does that during the off season?

I'm not aware if anything showed up in the news, but I assume if Stamkos changed his training, it would have gotten to one of our beat writers, so my guess is he still trains with Roberts. But it's "the new NHL," where speed is everything, and I don't think it's a given that Roberts has caught up with that trend just yet.
 

RegularSznAllStars

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Stamkos isn’t an elite goal scorer anymore but he’s become one of the best playmaking centers in the league and his defense has improved quite a bit. He hasn’t been bad so far this year though I know he can be a lot better.

No, stamkos has not become one of the best playmaking centers in the league. He is easily one of the worst playmakers in the league.
 

Rygu

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I'm not aware if anything showed up in the news, but I assume if Stamkos changed his training, it would have gotten to one of our beat writers, so my guess is he still trains with Roberts. But it's "the new NHL," where speed is everything, and I don't think it's a given that Roberts has caught up with that trend just yet.
Yeah I think Gary is more of a cardio/strength guy. Probably more suited for d-men than forwards these days.
 

DFC

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No, stamkos has not become one of the best playmaking centers in the league. He is easily one of the worst playmakers in the league.

Among top-tier players, this is true. His hands aren't in the same league as most 1Cs. He always made up for that with his ability to shoot.
 

God King Fudge

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Oct 13, 2017
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Playing with Kucherov and Namestnikov (of all people) did wonders for him. It all went downhill after Miller was brought in, and even further downhill after Stammer and Kuch got split up.


You must have not seen them play together this season
 

Critical13

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Lol, so much overreactions in this thread. Reminds me of every year when Iginla would have like 2-3 points at the end October. From November on he would torch the rest of the season and end up with 80-90pts.

This is hockey folks. Crosby has had slumps and so does Ovechkin. It’s not gonna last, he’s a premier scorer and he will break out of this sooner than later.

This is the safe post. Very easy and sure to rack up some likes, but I don’t think it’s correct and tastes of appeasement.

I will make sure I bump it later this season and we will see.

Some of the Lightning fans here have posted some apt explainations that match exactly with the on ice product. I personally think his injuries have taken away any chance of him being elite again, but perhaps he can remake himself. Watching him in Sarnia was some of the most fun I’ve ever had watching junior hockey and I am glad I got to see his career play out.
 
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