In 98 if i had said Thorton will outscore Jagr. I bet i would have gotting something like. If Jagr dies. Or maybe when Jagr retires. But it happened.
Huh? Not all of us are quick to jump to conclusions. Thornton was the first pick in 1997 and very much heralded; there were many that figured he would one day score at a level that Jagr would be scoring at even after his low-scoring rookie season - people didn't panic, they realized he was just 18 and full of potential. He was very much like Jordan Staal, big and skilled, but still maturing and only scraping the surface of his offensive potential. One of the reasons Staal was picked ahead of Kessel, who didn't improve as much as Staal did in the past 12 months.
Thornton only scored a handful of points as a rookie, yet he developed - Crosby scored 100 points as an 18-year-old - he's still only 18 years old, and has only scratched the surface when it comes to his offensive capabilities. Wait until he's playing with Malkin and Staal in a couple of years on the PP. No one drafted in the past 20 seasons, including Kessel, has Crosby's offensive potential.
Methinks you are a touch biased when it comes to the impact of your Gophers and the NCAA in general - there has rarely ever been a superstar talent come out of the NCAA, and when I say superstar, I'm talking impact franchise players. Ken Dryden would be about it; Kariya and a couple of others are perhaps debateable...but that's about it.
Dryden set records in NCAA that remain today, and Kariya was absolutely outstanding in his freshman season, notching 100 points in 39 games. Kessel wasn't nearly as impactful as Kariya was in his rookie season, yet you are contending that he has more offensive potential than an 18-year-old who just outscored Kariya in his NHL prime.
I see Kessel as a Kariya type potential actually, and there's nothing wrong with that. Not overly imposing size wise or physically, superb speed and great playmaking ability, excellent shot, not known for defensive tenacity....they have many similarities.
Hey I used to think every standout Ottawa 67s player should be an NHLer - I remember thinking Yvan Joly would be a decent NHLer because he was super fast, could pass and had a great shot; he barely got a sniff because of his size, yet he was one of the most dynamic junior players of his era. It's a big world out there, and there are lots of outstanding players in the big league, and some outstanding talent coming up.
Kessel may not ultimately outpoint Staal, Brule, Radulov, Tavares, Esposito, or Couture (just to name some CHL talent)...let alone Malkin or Ovechkin. Ovechkin will eat that kid for breaky.