Someone was saying Gretzky scoring 700 goals by age 30 was one of the most impressive things he did.
I disagreed...
Well, there you go! 706 goals by age 29 isn't particularly impressive! Why, it's barely even worth mentioning.
There are indeed areas in which Gretzky trumps Lemieux, but goal scoring isn't it.
Yeah... except in:
Most goals in one season:
1) Gretzky 92
2) Gretzky 87
Fastest 200 goals
1) Gretzky
Fastest 300 goals
1) Gretzky
Fastest 400 goals
1) Gretzky
Fastest 500 goals
1) Gretzky
Fastest 600 goals
1) Gretzky
Fastest 700 goals
1) Gretzky
Highest goals-per-game in one season:
1) Gretzky 1.18
2) Gretzky 1.15
Most goals, one season, including playoffs:
1) Gretzky 100
2) Gretzky 97
Most hat-tricks, one season:
1) Gretzky 10
2) Gretzky 10
Fastest 50 goals, one season:
1) Wayne Gretzky
2) Wayne Gretzky
Most goals after 50 games, from start of season:
1) Wayne Gretzky
2) Wayne Gretzky
So, yeah, Mario is just trumping him there!
The only area in which Lemieux can be said to out-pace Gretzky in
anything is in goal-scoring in the latter half of their careers, or, say, after age 30-ish. It's clear that Lemieux was a more prolific goal-scorer
in his 30s than Gretzky in the much longer period of his 30s (see next quote, below)... but why should we assume that Lemieux could have kept up his partial-season-every-couple-of-years paces for the duration of his 30s, if he'd played every night as Gretzky did? I mean we're talking about a guy much bigger and stronger than Gretzky who quit hockey at age 31 because it was too physically tough for him.
It's certainly interesting data that is for sure. How many goals did Gretzky have at the 669 game mark?
Lemieux had 563 at the 669 game-mark, and Gretzky had
572. Gretzky win.
Lemieux retired after 915 games, and with 690 goals. After 915 games, Gretzky had
715. Gretzky win.
I might add that's also 715 goals with 5 Cup Final runs, 3 Canada Cups, a World Championships, more day-to-day media scrutiny than Mario could dream of in Pittsburgh, being traded to a bottom-feeder team, and massively harder travel schedule than Mario ever had.
This isn't even taking into account the difference in eras of each of their seasons until 30. Gretzky played in higher scoring seasons.
Oh yes, the old "they-played-in-different-eras!" nonsense again.
In Mario's first two seasons, NHL scoring, per team, was 3.93 GPG. In Wayne's first two seasons, it was
3.68 GPG.
Mario entered a higher-scoring NHL than Wayne did, and he didn't enter on an expansion team (albeit a bad one). Yet in their first two seasons, Gretzky scored 106 goals while being known mainly as a playmaker, while Mario scored 91 while being known mainly as a goal scorer.
Then, from his 3rd season (when he really reaches his peak of goal-scoring) through his 11th season (ending when he's 30), Mario's GPG is 0.91. However, he played only 517 games in this period. Wayne's next 517 games (from 1981 --> early 1988), his GPG is 0.91. Match.
It's a similar story in the playoffs, where Mario played 'only' 107 games. In those 107 games, he scored 76 goals. In his first 107 playoff games, Wayne scored 71 goals... (but then had another 10 in the next 12 games).
Lemieux was a better goal scorer until the age of 30, and then after 30 it wasn't close.
As my data above shows, Lemieux was
not a better goal-scorer until the age of 30.
I agree that Lemieux was the better goal-scorer when each player was past 30, but consider that Mario played only
one season of 70+ games past age 30, while Wayne played 6, which hugely lowered his per-game averages.
After a partial season at age 35 with Jagr outscoring Lemieux game-by-game, Jagr left the Penguins. Lemieux's goal-scoring stats after that are:
42 goals / 127 games
It's good for a player of advanced age, of course, but it's hardly overwhelming. In 1996-97, with the Rangers (age 36), Gretzky scored 35 goals in 107 games overall.
Moreover, in the playoffs after age 30:
Lemieux 23 games / 9 goals
Gretzky 58 games / 29 goals
Lemieux's stats dropped off hugely in the 2001 playoffs, which supports my theory that his per-game stats past age-30 are slightly unrealistic in the context of a full season (or without a Jagr to support him). So, while I agree that Mario was better than Wayne at goal-scoring when each was past 30, I think the per-game stats give a distorted view of that. And anyway, Wayne's playoff goal-scoring is better than Mario's past 30.
I brought it up.... Indeed Gretzky played 30 minutes a game, but I can't prove it because they didn't track (or make public) TOI until like 1998.
The reason you can't prove it is because it isn't true. Gretzky never averaged 30 minutes per game. As mentioned before, when Gretzky was 22, Sather went public to announce that he was cutting Gretzky's per-game minutes, since he'd been a bit burned out at the end of the media-intense 1981-82 season and had been chasing records all year.
Can somebody go back and watch three or four average Oilers' games (not games like the 50-in-39 game when he'd obviously be getting more ice time than usual) to confirm this?